Lone Star Park Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday 6/9/20
With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 2:35 p.m. EST, we have 9 races at Lone Star Park. Using our numberFire projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, keep an eye out for scratches and changes.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).
Truly Bling, Race 4
FD Odds: 12/1
Truly Bling is our upset candidate today in this 5 ½ furlong sprint for state-breds. His past performance chart shows little success in recent races, but he ran well at Lone Star last year with an 81 speed figure, and also won in Allowance company as the favorite on the front end with an 87 figure. Bet Truly Bling as an overlay at FanDuel Racing.
Moro Charlie (2/1) is a vulnerable favorite on the rail and has failed to win in his last nine starts while missing the money his last three. His bullet work over the track more than two weeks ago is not enough to convince and has no value.
Paw’s Salty Pepper (4/1) was overmatched in Allowance company last race but is a competitive option at this level.
Elle’s Town, Race 5
FD Odds: 2/1
Elle’s Town breaks from the rail as the favorite in this two-turn 1-mile Allowance race for fillies and mares on the turf. The son of Speightown, a Breeders’ Cup Sprint champion, has just one win in 17 starts, but numberFire has her on top in this race.
Elle's Town has finished second or third nine times running against better at bigger tracks. Her consistent 90s speed figures and a near miss stakes race running on the front end at Fair Grounds with a 110 should have her ready to wire these with leading rider Cabrera aboard. A pair of very strong morning works including a bullet 10 days ago suggests this mare is ready to run big in her return.
Breeze Rider (5/2) and Chikara (9/2) are the challenges according to the odds, but neither has hit a 90 speed figure and Chikara just broke her Maiden in her ninth start.
Tigerbeach, Race 9
FD Odds: 7/5
Not much to dwell on here, as the favorite Tigerbeach looks tough, and numberFire agrees a win looks likely in this 5 furlong Allowance race. Tigerbeach returns fresh for winning connections after a pair of in the money finishes at Santa Anita earlier this year. His local works have been good, and his consistent speed figures in the mid-90s will get him to the winner's circle again. No value or much return but an addition to the late Pick 3.
Jockey Stewart Elliott has a meet-leading 11 wins, and he rides Tumbling Sky (3/1) for trainer Steve Asmussen, who moves this lightly-raced colt to the turf for the first time. Overmatched in a pair or recent races, but the change of surface is worth noting.
Bob’s Bad Boy (8/1) is a longshot who could cash in with a repeat performance of his race two back. A strong closing kick and 89 speed figure got him the victory, and a similar run would put him in the mix. A Pick 3 addition and payoff if he scores the upset.