DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: TOUR Championship
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
|Key Stats for the TOUR Championship at East Lake GC|
|Strokes Gained: Off The Tee|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 3s (200+)|
|Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds.
Justin Thomas (DraftKings Price: $11,900 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +550 | Starting Score: -7) - We'll forgo the top two slots and land on Thomas, last year's points leader heading into the TOUR Championship only to see the field pass him by. He ranks third this year, close enough to push for first prize but far enough back that he'll need to be aggressive. JT is at his best with that mindset, especially off the tee. Long term he ranks 11th in strokes gained: off the tee, with inconsistency as his accuracy comes and goes. But his approach game (first) and birdie-making (second), give him a high enough baseline that if he just drives it OR putts it well he will be in the mix on Sunday.
Webb Simpson ($11,000 | +1000 | -6) - Simpson's season has been overshadowed by the carousel at the top of the world rankings, but he has two wins and eight top 10s this season, every bit as good as the names at the very top of the market. Simpson gives up ground off the tee but is an ace where it counts: approach and putting. He ranks first in strokes gained: putting on bermudagrass, fifth in birdies or better gained, and sixth in strokes gained: approach. He is a Donald Ross specialist, an absolute beast at the correlated Sedgefield Country Club with another top-five finish this season and a T8 in his debut at Detroit Golf Club.
Daniel Berger ($9,100 | +2700 | -4) - Berger will be popular this week and rightfully so. His salary slot fits just about any construction, and he's been clearly one of the top players in the world this year. He has the well-rounded game we want to see here, ranking 6th in birdies or better gained, 9th in both strokes gained: off the tee and approach, and 10th in putting on bermuda. He is 3rd on par 3s between 200 - 225 yards and 19th on those over 225 yards.
Patrick Reed ($8,500 | +5000 | -3) - While everyone will want to play Berger and Xander Schauffele ($8,900 | 2700 | -3), Reed should go under-owned thanks to a relatively high price and a less than stellar history at East Lake. His T9 finish last year was his best result at the TOUR Championship despite qualifying each of the past six years. It's possible the course just doesn't suit Reed, but he presents a perfect leverage opportunity. His birdie-making ability (eighth) and short game should help him crack East Lake one year, and we might as well make it the one when he's low owned.
Brendon Todd ($7,600 | +8000 | -3) - Todd has shown over the course of the season that his two wins in the fall were not outliers, and he'll cap off a tremendous comeback year with an appearance at the TOUR Championship this week. The back-to-back victories were special but almost as impressive is his play in elite fields and especially at difficult courses. He was top 25 at Bay Hill before the layoff and managed the same at the Travelers Championship, the Memorial, the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, and the PGA Championship. A T8 finish at the BMW Championship in the toughest conditions of the year is another feather in Todd's 2020 season. While his ballstriking will never compare to the best of the best as he's matched up against this week, he ranks fourth in putting on bermuda and par 3s over 225 yards.
Kevin Kisner ($6,800 | +15000 | -1) - In the same vein as Simpson and Reed is Kisner, a shorter hitter who specializes on the greens but can get red hot with his irons. Kisner has finished top 25 in each of his past five events, most notably a T3 at the Wyndham and T4 at THE NORTHERN TRUST.
Viktor Hovland ($6,600 | +21000) | E) - Hovland shined in the first few events post-COVID layoff, leading the field in strokes gained: tee-to-green while treading water with his short game (an improvement for him). He ranks 4th on par 3s between 200 - 225 yards, 8th in approach, 10th off the tee, and 13th in birdies or better gained.
Billy Horschel ($5,700 | +21000 | E) - A former winner at East Lake, expect Horschel to draw some ownership this week. He fits the bill, ranking first on par 3s between 200 - 225 yards and second in strokes gained: putting on bermuda. He was runner up at the correlated Wyndham.
Ryan Palmer ($5,400 | +32000 | -1) - Palmer caps off a terrific 2019-20 season with his third trip to East Lake, having previously finished 28th in 2010 and 7th in 2014. He broke par in all four rounds in the latter, having not done so once in the former, a testament to Palmer's week-to-week inconsistency. He's a good par 3 player, ranking 7th on par 3s between 200 - 225 yards and 9th on par 3s over 225 yards.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.