Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: RBC Heritage
By now, you've probably dabbled in daily fantasy sports, but if not, don't worry. Now is a great time to start, especially with FanDuel's daily fantasy golf offering.
Golf can be one of the most exciting DFS sports to follow, as tournaments span four days and allow ample time to prepare each week. It's a great balance between time to research and time spent tracking your team.
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Let's take a look at some golfers to target this week.
|Key Stats for the RBC Heritage
at Harbour Town Golf Links
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Good Drive Rate|
|Strokes Gained: Around the Green|
|Greens in Regulation|
|Birdie or Better Rate|
There doesn't seem to be an abundance of wind in the forecast this week, but we'll have to keep an eye on it. Harbour Town is a course that emphasizes accuracy over distance, like we saw last week at Colonial. That being said, we saw golfers overpower Colonial for the most part.
Last week, the top-12 distance gainers made the cut (half of whom were top-15). Similarly, 13 of 14 fairway gainers made the cut, and 5 were top-10 finishers. The top-10 in good drive rate all made the cut, and 5 of them were top-10, including the winner, Daniel Berger. I think that's the key this week. Distance is good. Accuracy is good. One or the other is crucial.
Stats cited below come from FantasyNational and include the past 50 rounds on the PGA Tour unless noted. Ranks are among the field.
Best of the Best
Bryson DeChambeau (FanDuel Price: $11,900 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +1400) - The field is loaded, so there are no shortage of elite picks at the top of the field. In fact, I'd be fine with any of the top-12 golfers in terms of FanDuel salary. That's wild. Anyway, DeChambeau looks lethal right now, and he gained 12.1 strokes from his ball-striking last week (off the tee and approach). Nobody else was above 8.6. He has elite tee-to-green performances at Harbour Town despite two missed cuts from bad putting.
Webb Simpson ($11,400 | +2900) - Simpson is coming off a missed cut but is a way better Bermuda putter than a bentgrass putter, and he lost 2.9 strokes putting last week on bentgrass. His ball-striking wasn't lights out (1.6 strokes gained off the tee but 0.8 lost with approach shots), yet Webb has finished top-16 in three straight years at this event. The long-term form checks out, so we can get him at lower popularity than usual.
Others to Consider:
Literally anyone priced at $10,900 or above.
Rory McIlroy ($12,200 | +1100) - Don't worry about the Sunday 74. Still elite tee-to-green numbers and unmatched fantasy consistency.
Jon Rahm ($11,700 | +1800) - Ranked seventh last week in strokes gained: tee to green but missed the cut due to a bad putter. Bounceback candidate.
Hideki Matsuyama ($11,000 | +2700) - Coming back for the first time here but a strong fantasy pick at the salary.
Sungjae Im ($10,900 | +2900) - 10th last week with positive strokes gained in every area.
Viktor Hovland ($9,900 | +6500) - One of the best tee-to-green performances in the return last week belonged to Hovland despite losing fairways to the field -- something uncommon for Hovland (who is 22nd in accuracy over the past 50 rounds). A lack of Bermuda putting (16 measured rounds) is problematic, yet he's still in play in a balanced, make-the-cut build, which is what I'm looking for this week.
Billy Horschel ($9,400 | +9000) - Horschel is back on best putting surface, so we can feel better about him this week than we did last week when he gained strokes tee to green despite losing in approach to finish 38th. Horschel
Others to Consider:
Jason Kokrak ($9,900 | +6500) - One of the best ball-strikers in the world gets his least negative putting surface; 3rd last week.
Kevin Kisner ($9,800 | +6500) - Positive strokes tee to green in all three areas last week with three top-11 finishes here the past five years.
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,700 | +6000) - A balanced game keeps him in play before the tier drops off a good bit. Joel Dahmen ($9,500) is also viable.
Harold Varner ($9,000 | +10000) - It's not chasing a good performance last week with Varner; it's trusting great tee-to-green stats over a large sample. Varner is 11th in the field in strokes gained: tee to green over the past 50 rounds. Last week, only three golfers fared better in approach play: Gary Woodland (finished 9th), Justin Thomas (finished 10th), and Collin Morikawa (finished 2nd). Varner is bad on Bermuda greens, but if you're digging down in this range, trust the ball-strikers -- not the putters.
Corey Conners ($9,000 | +8000) - Conners finished 19th last week, tied with Varner, and did so by gaining 4.6 good drives (a fairway hit or a green in regulation after missing a fairway). He actually tied with Bryson DeChambeau in that stat. Conners also added distance against the big-hitting field last week. Conners, never a good putter, is best on Bermuda (still a negative putter -- let's get that clear). Diving deep in a field this good isn't recommended often, and we have plenty of picks in the high $8,000 range to rotate in.
Others to Consider:
Harris English ($8,900 | +10000) - Neutral tee-to-green numbers last week but an S-tier Bermuda putter.
Luke List ($8,900 | +10000) - Won on the Korn Ferry Tour last week and was 3rd here in 2018 but a very risk/reward play.
Adam Hadwin ($8,700) | +9000) - Can get by with accuracy here and a good bet to make the cut.