Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: Sentry Tournament of Champions

Which golfers stand out on FanDuel for a small-field event at Kapalua?

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Let's take a look at some golfers to target this week.

Key Stats

Key Stats for the Sentry Tournament of Champions
at the Plantation Course at Kapalua
Driving Distance
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Strokes Gained: Approach
Birdie or Better Rate
Par 5 Scoring

This week, driving distance and strokes gained: off the tee should do well to differentiate the small field of 34 golfers. We also need golfers who can go low, as the worst winning score over the past five years was 21 under.

For a more detailed breakdown on the course, check out our course primer from Mike Rodden.

Stats cited below come from FantasyNational and include the past 50 rounds on the PGA Tour unless noted. Ranks are among the field.

Best of the Best

Jon Rahm (FanDuel Price: $11,900 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +430) - Rahm has been red hot, and his win equity (+430) is just too high to ignore completely in a 34-golfer field. Rahm has finished eighth and second here over the past two years and ranks seventh in driving distance and fifth in strokes gained: off the tee. Even while he's due for negative win regression, Rahm sets up well for another run at Kapalua.

Justin Thomas ($11,700 | +500) - Despite the heavy salary, Thomas is in play primarily to give us some ownership leverage over the red-hot Rahm. Thomas won here three years ago and finished third last year. Thomas leads the field in strokes gained on par 5s over the past 50 rounds and is first in strokes gained: tee to green in that span, as well.

Patrick Cantlay ($11,000 | +1000) - Cantlay will always look good when his price drops because his stats are so good, and he actually sits second behind only Thomas in my stats-only model for this week. Those numbers include ranking sixth in driving distance, first in birdie or better rate gained, second in par 5 scoring, and third in strokes gained: tee to green over a 50-round sample.

Others to Consider:
Xander Schauffele ($11,400 | +700)
Collin Morikawa ($10,200 | +2200)

Mid-Range Options

Paul Casey ($10,000 | +2200) - Casey is third in my stats-only model for this week, and while he's a little lacking in the distance department (21st), he does everything else to set up well for Kapalua, including ranking 2nd in strokes gained: tee to green and greens in regulation gained. He's also fourth in par 5 strokes gained in this span. Casey has played here just once in the past nine years, a 16th last year, but he's priced at a discount.

Cameron Champ ($9,700 | +3300) - Champ leads the field in driving distance gained and in strokes gained: off the tee, two vital stats for gaining leverage on the field this week. He's priced up, but the reason to play him is pretty obvious. Champ's profile is pretty lacking elsewhere, yet the awkward price -- just below bigger names and before a big drop off -- should make Champ a primary tournament play.

Joaquin Niemann ($9,500 | +4200) - Niemann is 12th in distance and 5th in birdie or better rate gained over our 50-round sample, and that should help us buy in despite Niemann's lack of course history (which plagues 16 of the 34 golfers in the field). Niemann ranks fourth in my stats-only model for the week.

Others to Consider:
Matthew Wolff ($9,100 | +5000)

Low-Priced Picks

Corey Conners ($8,900 | +5000) - Conners is a really juicy play at this price, as he has the distance (16th) and off-the-tee (2nd) numbers to push for a top-10. Conners' profile is quite balanced overall, and he's the field leader in greens in regulation gained over the past 50 rounds. The key issue for Conners will always be putting (33rd).

Sebastian Munoz ($8,300 | + 6500) - Munoz is just 18th in distance but is 5th in par 5 scoring and 6th in birdie or better rate gained. The red flag is that he's 3rd in strokes gained: putting in this span despite ranking just 18th tee to green, but we're still getting a top-half tee-to-green performer at a reasonable salary.

Lanto Griffin ($7,000 | +12000) - Griffin is priced at the bare minimum but rates out 21st among 34 golfers in my stats model for the week. He's long enough off the tee (14th) to avoid falling behind right off the tee box and is also 14th in par 5 scoring. Griffin opens up a lot and can even allow us to roster both Rahm and Thomas, a good way to maximize our win equity.

Others to Consider:
Dylan Frittelli ($8,600 | +6500)
J.T. Poston ($8,400 | +8000)