DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: AT&T Byron Nelson
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the AT&T Byron Nelson at Trinity Forest Golf Club.
|Key Stats for the AT&T Byron Nelson at Trinity Forest Golf Club|
|Strokes Gained: Approach (emphasis on performance in windy conditions)|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 4s (400-450)|
|Proximity Gained (200+ yards)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the primer.
All stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Brooks Koepka DraftKings Price: $11,400 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds 7/1) - The top end is not as loaded as many events, and one man is clearly the class of the field this week as far as Vegas is concerned. Koepka has a well-earned reputation for slacking off at these types of middle-tier events, and there is certainly a possibility that he is looking forward to defending his PGA Championship crown next week. That being said, Brooks is a serious bargain at this price relative to his competitors. Just one other player in the top 20 in the world tees it up this week (No. 19 Patrick Reed), and the other golfers in this top tier are just nowhere near his level. He is 1st in birdies or better gained, 3rd in strokes gained: tee to green, 6th on par 5s, 11th on par 4s between 400 and 450 yards, and 12th in scrambling gained.
Hideki Matsuyama ($11,000 | 13) - Matsuyama is priced up in this weak field, and you'd be forgiven for rooting against him in hopes that his ownership is not too out of hand for the PGA. Hideki has been consistent and reliable for the past year, with just four finishes worse than 35th in that span. He is first in strokes gained: tee to green and strokes gained: approach in this field, and while he is sixth in approach in windy rounds (rounds classified as either "moderate" or "windy AF" on Fantasy National), he is actually first in total strokes gained in those conditions. He is solid across the board, as he ranks 3rd in proximity from 200+ yards, 6th in scrambling gained, and 16th in birdies or better gained.
Henrik Stenson ($10,300 | 24) - The Swede's precision off the tee should serve him this week, as he can hit his target zones and lean on his irons. He is among the best approach players in the world, windy or not. Stenson is first in strokes gained: approach when its windy and a meager second when it's not. He is more of a bogey-avoider than a birdie-maker, but Stenson's form is on the rise and after a disastrous stretch in Europe to start the year he is rounding into form. The pedigree is too good to hold him out of the top 10 for long.
Keith Mitchell ($9,100 | 32) - Mitchell gets a huge price bump both on DraftKings and Vegas odds after another strong finish last week at the Wells Fargo Championship. He won the Honda Classic in moderately windy conditions (notably Koepka finished as the runner-up). Like Trinity Forest, PGA National also features a lot of short par 4s that allowed Mitchell to play around the green for birdie opportunities. He loses his distance advantage here, but hitting the ball farther than the other guys doesn't hurt. If the course takes on rain like it did last year, distance all of a sudden becomes a huge mark in his favor.
Ryan Moore ($8,800 | 48) - Moore is fourth in strokes gained: approach (seventh in windy conditions), and he flashed some upside with a third place finish the last time out in Texas at the Valero. He is just 71st in proximity gained from over 200 yards, but he is 4th in proximity gained overall.
Rafael Cabrera-Bello ($8,600 | 44) - RCB's well-rounded game should suit him well at Trinity Forest, and he is underpriced here relative to his overall talent as the 31st ranked player in the world (he is the fifth-highest ranked player in this field). Cabrera-Bello is 3rd in birdies or better gained, 7th on par 4s (400-450 yards), 10th in strokes gained: tee to green, and 15th in strokes gained: approach (36th in windy conditions). He has missed just two cuts worldwide since last summer.
Scott Piercy ($8,400 | 50) - Piercy popped off with a third place finish last time out at the RBC Heritage, just his second top five since 2016 (third if you include the team event last year). So while the upside may be lacking, Piercy has shown an ability to perform consistently enough with his irons that if the rest of his game is even average he is a lock to at least make the cut. He is 5th on par 4s (400-450), 17th in birdies or better gained, and 27th in scrambling gained. Most importantly he is third in strokes gained: approach in windy conditions.
Low Priced Options
Scottie Scheffler ($7,900 | 75) - Scheffler is no secret this week, as he has torched the Web.com Tour the past few weeks with four straight top-five finishes, including a runner-up finish after losing a playoff at the Nashville Golf Open. Amidst that stretch he popped up on the PGA Tour and finished T20 at the Valero Texas Open and gained strokes on approach three of the four rounds. DraftKings was smart to bump his price for this event to mitigate his ownership, but he’ll be a popular industry pick this week, with good reason.
Trey Mullinax ($7,600 | 90) - A popular play last week, Mullinax faded over the weekend and in this significantly weaker field does not see much of a price change (he was $7,500 last week). He is 11th in strokes gained: approach (35th in windy rounds), 12th in strokes gained: tee to green, 18th in proximity gained (200+), and 25th in birdies or better gained.
Kevin Tway ($7600 | 90) - Tway kicked off the swing season with a victory at the Safeway Open and has mostly been pretty bad since then. He finished T11 at the small field Tournament of Champions (still 11 strokes back of the winner) and has made just two cuts since then. But Tway booked a top 10 here last year and even though the stats aren’t pretty (high points are 33rd in scrambling gained and 40th in strokes gained: tee to green), he is a low-owned upside play and a pivot off the chalkier Mullinax.
Brian Stuard ($7,400 | 90) - Stuard offers a nice profile at this price and will likely be another popular option in the mid-$7k range. He is 4th in scrambling gained, 5th in strokes gained: approach (16th in wind), 24th in proximity gained (200+), and 29th in strokes gained: tee to green. He has three top 20s in his last four events.
Dominic Bozzelli ($6,600 | 430) - While the main focus is ballstriking, a hot putter can cure a lot of ills, and Bozzelli has proven he can sustain success in that area over a large enough sample that it’s worth factoring in. The putting leads to strong marks in birdies or better gained (10th) and scrambling gained (21st). He does his best work on Bermuda.
Nate Lashley ($6,300 | 430) - Lashley has become a staple in this space on courses that require long approaches, and he enters the week ranked first in proximity gained from 200+ yards. He is also 20th in strokes gained: approach, and while he’s just 45th on the short par 4 range, he does most of his damage on the par 5s and ranks 4th in this field. He is 11th in total strokes gained over his last 50 rounds and is far too cheap relative to his peers in this range.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.