League of Legends Daily Fantasy Helper: EU Masters, Wednesday 5/6/20
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The playoffs for the EU Masters have arrived, and we have two quarterfinals to breakdown today. All matchups are going to be a best-of-three series with a team who finished first in their group versus a team who finished second in another group.
Movistar Riders are the most expensive team on the slate at every position, yet they come in as very slight underdogs versus Fnatic Rising. When I say slight underdog, they come in with an implied win probability of 48.8% -- aka, very slight underdogs. But this poses an interesting question -- knowing this, should you spend for the most expensive team on the slate?
Elyoya ($8,900) finished the group stage with the fourth-highest Kill/Death/Assist Ratio (KDA) overall and was first among junglers. He posted five assists or more in seven of his eight group stage games and never had more than two deaths. Elyoya is expensive but there is very little downside -- and plenty of upside.
rhuckz ($7,800) is the support for Movistar and finished the group stage as one of the best players at his position. He had the fourth-highest Kill Participation percentage, the second-highest KDA, and the third-most assists per game. The jungle-support pairing makes a nice stack, if you aren't fully stacking Movistar.
After those two, it's a toss-up between JaVaaa ($10,500) and Xico ($9,000) -- their ADC and mid, respectively. They are both great options -- held high KDA's in the group stage -- and it only comes down to who you can afford.
GamersOrigin are the largest favorite on the slate and should be stacked very confidently. Given the fact Movistar are expensive and underdogs, this could push some ownership towards GamersOrigin -- just take note for tournaments.
XDSMILEY ($10,400) put together a very strong group stage and had six kills or more three times while having three deaths or fewer in five of his six matches. As an ADC, he has a massive ceiling, and because of his low death numbers, he has a higher floor to build on. He led all ADC's in Creep Score per game and has to be one of the top overall plays on the slate.
After XDSMILEY, every other player is $8.8K or below. This should make stacking them as a team a bit easier, so look to add bluerzor ($8,800) and HustinbeasT ($7,700) to that stack. All three of these players finished in the top-25 for the highest KDA's through the group stage, and they all finished in the top six for highest kill participation percentage.
Fnatic Rising should be the most popular team on the slate, and it's for a few reasons. First off, they are the favorites in this series versus Movistar Riders -- noted above, Movistar are very slight underdogs. Next, Fnatic come in as the third-most expensive team on the slate, making them very easy to stack. Time to eat some chalk.
There is a legit case to be made for all five players on Fnatic, but you can't roster all of them -- so how do we rank them? Bravado ($7,300) is the cheapest player on the slate, and from a point per dollar perspective, nobody beats him. xMatty ($9,800) had six kills or more four times in the six group stage games. He has a high ceiling as an ADC -- and is the third cheapest of the bunch.
Dan ($8,400) was one of the best junglers in group play and finished in the top five for the highest average kills per game, highest average assists per game, and overall KDA. Jungle is a high-impact role and Dan should very involved with Fnatic if they are to win this series.
MagiFleix ($8,500) is somewhat of a 'value' play on this slate since he is the second-cheapest mid-laner and on a favorite. We don't often get 'savings' in mid lane and expect that player to post big numbers, but MagiFelix should be able to do that if Fnatic wins the series.
Are K1CK a good team? Yes, of course -- they made it to the playoffs after all -- but they come in as the largest underdog on the slate. They are also the cheapest team on the slate, which could potentially mean they are lower-owned and offer leverage.
They are good and could be the key to tournaments on the slate -- since their players truly shined in group play. They had three players finish in the top-20 for highest KDA through group play -- something only one other team in the entire playoffs can say, AGO Rogue.
The three players from K1CK who finished in the top-20 were Matislaw ($8,300), Puki Style ($9,700), and Shlatan ($8,300) -- their mid-laner, ADC, and jungler, respectively. Those players also finished in the top four in KDA at their respective positions. Underdogs? Yes. Cheap? Yes. Good players? Yes. All of this is true and they could be the key stack in tournaments if they win the series.