League of Legends Daily Fantasy Helper: LPL/LCK, Wednesday 4/22/20
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Let's break down the LPL/LCK slate for Wednesday, April 22nd and see who stands out. (Just a heads up, the slate locks at 4:00 a.m. EST.) Both series on this slate are a best-of-five, giving us T1 and eStar as the favorites. Just to give a bit of context, T1 finished as the second seed in the LCK, while DragonX was the third seed. For the other matchup -- in the LPL -- eStar are the 5th seed, while Team WE are the 8th seed.
Faker, T1 ($8,600)
Faker is the greatest League of Legends player ever, and he is too cheap on this slate. There are other options on this slate -- Cryin, who is also a great option and we'll get to him shortly -- but Faker stands out due to his price tag and his performances against DragonX this season. He played them twice, winning the first series 2-1 and the second series 2-0. Of course, this is a team game, but we saw Faker have very consistent stats across the two series.
In those five games, Faker posted 13 kills, 40 assists, and had only six deaths. A very strong performance overall, and given his salary, he has to be one of the top options on the entire slate -- regardless of position. T1 as a team are known for being a bit more methodical, which is why they finished with the third-longest average game time in the LCK -- according to OraclesElixir. They also finished with 0.58 combined kills per minute (team kills + opposing team kills) -- which was the third-lowest in their league. On the other hand, DragonX were the third-highest in combined kills per minute and had the second-fastest average game time.
This could cause T1 to play faster/more aggressively, leading to more kills and assists overall, only boosting the potential ceiling for Faker. A sweep isn't too likely in the playoffs, but a 3-1 victory for T1 is on the table.
Xiaobai, eStar ($8,600)
With only two games on the slate, a lot of your roster construction will come down to who you think is going to win each series. As noted several times in these articles, players on losing teams score only about 60% of the points compared to the winning players. You want winning players in your lineups; it's very simple. eStar are in a spot to not only win but potentially come away with a 3-0 sweep over Team WE, giving their players some nice upside due to the games not played bonus.
Why are eStar in a spot for a sweep?
So, let's get into it! Here are the full season (split) ELO tech ranks along with the win rates for each team against top and bottom half of the league for the #LPL: pic.twitter.com/z9hf7UHMSu
— James McCool (@Paydirt_DFS) April 21, 2020
In the chart above, Team WE -- listed as "WE" -- finished the LPL Spring Split with a win rate of only 29.41% against teams in the top half of the league --- the fifth-worst in the league. They beat up the teams below them in the standings and lost to the strong teams.
If WE aren't good against top teams, then we want to stack eStar, and that should start with Xiaobai in the top lane. He ended with the most assists among top laners in the LPL Spring Split, the third-most kills, the fifth-best Kill/Death/Assist Ratio (KDA), and the ninth-best Creep Score (CS) per game. Xiaobai has been elite the entire split, and paying up for this level of production and consistency is something you want to do -- especially if they can pull off the sweep.
Cuzz, T1 ($8,200)
T1 have Cuzz and Ellim listed as junglers, but Cuzz should be the one starting. In the LCK Spring Split, Ellim played only nine games, while Cuzz played 35. But, due to the fact there are two players listed -- the only team that has two listed -- some DFS players could be worried about not getting the correct one. If this is a chance for lower ownership, you want to grab plenty of shares of Cuzz tonight.
Among qualified junglers in the LCK Spring Split, Cuzz had the highest KDA, the second-highest CS per game, the most average assists per game, and the fourth-highest Kill Participation percentage. He gets involved, racks up the assists, and helps T1 en route to victories. I love the idea of pairing him with Faker and other members of T1 for a stack.
Cryin, eStar ($10,000)
Yes, paying up for Cryin in the mid lane is a great idea. He is one of only three players who are over $10K and you will have to find some savings elsewhere. Again, rostering players from winning teams is a key when it comes to LoL DFS, and eStar should be in the driver's seat for this series.
The question then becomes, can you afford to not roster Cryin? Maybe? It depends on what you do with your lineup construction and stacking plans. You could roster Faker in the mid spot and go for the two ADCs you think will win.
There are a few different possibilities when it comes to roster construction, and if you are rolling out multiple lineups, go crazy. But, if you are going with a single lineup -- get Cryin into that lineup. He led the LPL Spring Split in KDA among mid laners, averaged the second-most kills per game, and averaged the most assists per game. Roster him; it's that simple.
Deft, DragonX ($10,300)
What Cryin is to the mid lane in the LPL, Deft is to ADC in the LCK. He is at the top or near the top in every stat we would want to look at. KDA, total kills, total assists, creep score per minute, and on and on. He is on DragonX, who are in a tough matchup and are the underdogs in this series. I've also noted that you want to roster players from winning teams for the most potential fantasy points. That is the ideal scenario, a full roster of players from winning teams -- but that doesn't mean you can't win with a different combination.
This is where Deft comes into play --- especially if this series goes to all five games against T1. You can go with a few T1 players, whichever eStar players you can afford, and potentially Deft in the mix as a one-off who brings immense fantasy upside.
Keria, DragonX ($7,700)
Keria shouldn't be too highly owned on this slate and goes along with the theory that DragonX takes this series to five games. ShaiauC -- the support from eStar -- is in line for a win and should see decent ownership. Effort -- the support from T1 -- is cheaper than Keria and is on the team who are the favorites. This puts Keria in an interesting spot from an ownership perspective, as he could offer a bit of leverage.
You should be rostering him only if you are going to be rostering Deft, as that would bring the most upside to your lineups.
You should look to correlate your team spot with you one of your stacks, and with T1 being the second-cheapest on the slate, they make an easy option. They won seven of their last 10 series to close out the LCK Spring Split. Four of those series were sweeps, and they grabbed 15 towers or more in eight of these last 10 series.