Questions
Ajay Sutton
Draft Position Strategy
The way one of my leagues chooses its draft order is by randomly drawing numbers out of a hat, and then giving the top pickers the choice of where they would like to draft. For example, if I picked #1 out of the hat, I wouldn't necessarily be locked in to picking #1 overall...I could choose any position, 1-10. If I chose #10, for example, the guy who picked #2 out of the hat could choose any position 1-9...and so on down the line it goes. Specific to this year, picks #1 & #2 are already spoken for; the highest I could possibly pick is #3.This is also a keeper league, so I'm really kinda wracking my brain trying to figure out where the "ideal" draft position would be, based on what 3 players I already have on my roster when we draft. I haven't decided exactly who my keepers are, but it's likely it's going to be: Jimmy Graham/Giovani Bernard/Montee Ball, OR Jimmy Graham/Montee Ball or Giovani Bernard/Andrew Luck. At the moment, I do not have a WR worth keeping.
I could use a ton of space listing who other likely keepers from other teams are, but I think the only thing that matters as it relates to the first round is this: Matt Forte, Eddie Lacy, Demaryius Thomas, and Peyton Manning are the only other players in the concensus Top 15 rankings that are pretty much a lock to not be available to draft.
At the moment, and especially if I am allowed to keep both Montee Ball and Giovani Bernard, I'm half tempted to deliberately pick #10, and go WR/WR, possibly get A.J. Green and like Dez Bryant.
I don't think I'm going to have a crack at a TRUE stud/elite RB unless I am able to pick #3 overall...with Forte and Lacy being kept, and some combo of AP/Charles/McCoy going 1-2...the only one left of that group is going to be drafted #3 overall for sure. But I draft out of the 3 slot, I am going to be pretty hampered at WR, and I still feel like I'd need to take a WR with 2 of my first 3 picks.
Ugh...a lot of unknown variables make this more of a headache than in should be, but I still don't know what would be best even with the information I do have.
I am in a 12 team, 2QB keeper league, where I am trying to decide between 3 out of : Lacy, Forte, Luck, RG3. I am leaning Lacy + the 2QBs because everyone reaches on QBs early (Andy Dalton went 13th overall).
My opinion is make the keeper decision based on the QB value and then once that is done it will make choosing a draft position easier.