The 5 Biggest Plays of the NCAA Tournament Thus Far

3. St. Joe's Hits a Last-Second Three (+54.7 WP)

The Play

The Math

Again, the difference in win probability here compared to the previous two plays is that St. Joe's was trailing prior to nailing a three-pointer that gave them the eventual win. And the reason the win probability change wasn't higher was because there was still time on the clock for Cincinnati to run down the court for an attempt of their own. Unfortunately for Bearcat fans, that attempt came after the buzzer.