3 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 4/4/19

Nemanja Bjelica, SF, Sacramento Kings

FanDuel Price: $3,700
Projected FanDuel Points: 21.5
Projected FanDuel Value: 5.82

If Nemanja Bjelica's price were still the $4,800 it was on Tuesday, he'd likely not be here today. As algorithmic luck would have it, however, Bjelica's price has plummeted $1,100, and he costs just $3,700 for tonight's game against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

While one can never know quite what to expect from Bjelica, his chaotic output doesn't matter nearly as much with a price near the minimum on FanDuel. The question simply is, can he return solid value? At this price, a value of 5.0 FanDuel points per $1,000 means an output of just 18.5 points. Bjelica has easily returned that value in six of his past seven full games (excluding an illness-plagued, eight-minute appearance on March 28).

The best thing about using Bjelica is that he has nights where he goes off for 40-plus FanDuel points. He scored 30-plus FanDuel points four times in March, two of which were above that 40-point mark. We don't have him scoring nearly that many FanDuel points tonight, but our projected 21.5 for him represents a value of over 5.8 points per $1,000.