NBA

Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/18/17

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Giannis Antetokounmpo, SG, Milwaukee Bucks

FanDuel Price: $10,600

On the other side of the ball, we have Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks, who are projected for 109.75 points, which is the fourth-most on the slate. The Greek Freak has risen to the occasion in big games like this over the past two seasons, as evidenced by his splits in similar game scripts.

Over the past two seasons, Antetokounmpo has seen a 9.2-FanDuel-point increase in his average when playing in games with at least a 109.75-point implied team total. He hasn't played in any games with over a 220-point over/under, but in eight games with at least a 215-point over/under, he has nearly averaged a triple double, posting a line of 24.1 points, 9.3 rebounds, 8.4 assists, and 55.4 FanDuel points. The 55.4 FanDuel point average is up a ridiculous 17.5 points from his average in all other games during that span.

As mentioned earlier, this game should be played at one of the quickest paces of any on this slate, and nobody figures to benefit from that more than Antetokounmpo. For starters, the Bucks are the ones seeing a huge increase in pace, as they have played at the 21st-fastest pace and Houston has maintained the 4th-highest pace this season.

Also, Antetokounmpo has been absolutely unstoppable in transition this season, trailing only Russell Westbrook in transition scoring and shooting an unprecedented 67.3 percent from the field in transition. The next-highest transition percentage for a point guard is Westbrook's 53.8 percent. The Rockets have been easily exploitable in transition this season, allowing the fourth-most fast break points.

As is the case nearly every night, Houston has nobody capable of containing Antetokounmpo in this game. The only thing that will be able to keep him from posting a monster game on par with his previous performances in positive game scripts is foul trouble, which limited him to 29 minutes in his most recent game.