Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/4/17

Darren Collison, PG, Sacramento Kings

FanDuel Price: $4,500

The team total still hasn't been posted for this game due to injuries for both teams, but early tentative lines have the Sacramento Kings projected for 105.5 points and eight-point favorites over the banged-up Miami Heat.

In games Darren Collison has played for Sacramento with at least a 105.5-point implied team total over the past two seasons, he has averaged 23.4 FanDuel points, as opposed to 18.6 in all other games. His average jumps to 24.8 FanDuel points when his team has an implied total at least 105.5 points and favored by at least eight points.

Collison dropped 38.9 FanDuel points on Tuesday while playing 36 minutes with both Rudy Gay and Ty Lawson on the sideline. He's averaged 28.2 FanDuel points in games he's played 30 or more minutes over the past two seasons, and with both Gay and Lawson questionable once again, he could be looking at more big minutes.

He will be guarded by Goran Dragic, who ranks 79th among 86 qualified point guards in defensive real plus-minus this season. With a positive matchup and game script in his favor, the only thing left to make Collison an elite value play is news of Lawson sitting. Keep an eye out as we approach lineup lock.