What It Means:

Peavy entered Wednesday's start holding an 8.21 ERA, but he pitched far better than that bloated number against the Padres. The only run to score on his watch came when Alexei Ramirez notched an RBI single in the seventh inning. The veteran right-hander will need to string together multiple starts of this variety if he wants to extricate himself from his current 7.26 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. A road start against the Atlanta Braves shows next on his schedule.

Peavy stands at 1-5 in 10 appearances this season, recording a 17.70 strikeout percentage across 48 1/3 innings on the year. His 4.67 xFIP suggests he will improve over the remainder of the year. Our models support this notion, projecting Peavy to finish 2016 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 161 innings of work.