What It Means:

While he has had a strong season, going 36-16-3 with a .930 save percentage and 2.11 goals against average, Dubnyk has really struggled recently, with only 1 win in his last 6 starts, sporting an ugly .888 save percentage in that span.

Our models give Dubnyk a 59.0 percent chance of getting back in the win column on Saturday, projecting him for 24.2 saves and 2.2 goals against, making him our 6th-ranked fantasy goalie for the day.