What It Means:

Rask allowed three goals on 26 shots in his last start, but still managed to come away with a win on Tuesday over the Detroit Red Wings. For the season, he has a 23-12-4 record while posting a 2.13 goals-against-average and a .919 save percentage with five shutouts.

numberFire's models give Rask a 41.0 percent chance of picking up the win on Thursday night, and he ranks only 21st among the 26 goalies starting for a busy 13-game slate. We project him to allow 2.5 goals while making 24.7 saves.