What It Means:

Johnson's .923 save percentage and 2.24 goals-against average are both better than his career averages, and he has been playing well recently, having allowed two or fewer goals in each of his last five starts.

Our models project Johnson for 23.0 saves, only 1.6 goals against, a sky-high 77.0 percent chance of scoring a win and a disrespectful 18.0 percent chance of turning in a shutout. He is our third-ranked fantasy goalie among the night's 16 starters.