What It Means:

Murray enters Monday's contest at a sparkling 13-4-1 on the year with a .925 save percentage and 2.28 goals-against average. He gets a tough draw on Monday against a Capitals team currently on a nine-game winning streak.

numberFire's models give Murray a 51.0 percent chance of picking up the win while projecting him to allow 2.4 goals and record 24.6 saves versus the Capitals.