What It Means:

Greiss was superb in the first round, but he's allowed 11 goals in three games against the Tampa Bay Lightning in the second round of the Stanley Cup playoffs. He has a 2.34 goals against average and .930 save percentage overall in the 2016 postseason.

Our models project Greiss to give up 2.30 goals on 28.68 attempts tonight against Tampa Bay. We give him and the Islanders a 48.0 percent chance of evening up the series with a win.