FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Sunday 7/2/23
Our daily helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups. Be sure to also incorporate our great tools into your research process.
Whether you're looking for daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, or batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups -- we've got you covered!
Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
| Team | Opp SP | Opp | O/U | Moneyline | Implied Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | Kevin Gausman | TOR | 8 | 160 | 3.47 |
| MIA | Spencer Strider | ATL | 8.5 | 166 | 3.65 |
| WSH | Ranger Suarez | PHI | 9.5 | 200 | 3.86 |
| STL | Gerrit Cole | NYY | 8 | -104 | 3.96 |
| NYY | Jordan Montgomery | STL | 8 | -112 | 4.04 |
| KC | Tony Gonsolin | LAD | 9.5 | 168 | 4.07 |
| CHC | Aaron Civale | CLE | 8.5 | 106 | 4.11 |
| CLE | Jameson Taillon | CHC | 8.5 | -124 | 4.39 |
| PIT | Colin Rea | MIL | 9 | -104 | 4.46 |
| TOR | Garrett Whitlock | BOS | 8 | -190 | 4.53 |
| MIL | Rich Hill | PIT | 9 | -112 | 4.54 |
| HOU | Andrew Heaney | TEX | 9.5 | 110 | 4.55 |
| ATL | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | 8.5 | -198 | 4.85 |
| TEX | Shawn Dubin | HOU | 9.5 | -130 | 4.95 |
| SD | Andrew Abbott | CIN | 11 | 124 | 5.2 |
| LAD | Brady Singer | KC | 9.5 | -200 | 5.43 |
| PHI | Trevor Williams | WSH | 9.5 | -245 | 5.64 |
| CIN | Adrian Morejon | SD | 11 | -146 | 5.8 |
| COL | Matt Manning | DET | 12 | -108 | 6 |
| DET | Connor Seabold | COL | 12 | -108 | 6 |
Pitchers
Spencer Strider ($11,600)
After a 2.6% increase to his second highest salary this season, Atlanta's strikeout machine stands as Sunday's most expensive pitcher versus a Miami Marlins' lineup with a .306 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 23.9% K-rate.
In his most recent five starts despite producing an unlucky 5.46 Earned Run Average, Strider has still maintained his elite form when examining his 18.0% swinging strike percentage, 33.3% K-rate, and 3.48 expected Fielding Independent Pitching rating (xFIP).
With today's second best fantasy projection (37.1) and strikeout prediction (7.36), the 24-year old is due for another ceiling performance versus six Miami batters with K-rates between 22.7% and 29.3% and a team he recorded 13 strikeouts against earlier this season .
Kevin Gausman ($11,200)
Despite recording 12 strikeouts and 55 FanDuel points in his last start, Gausman's salary only moved up 1.8% against a Boston Red Sox's offense with a .312 wOBA and a 23.3% K-rate in their last 1487 plate appearances.
Since May 4th, Toronto's right-hander has warranted today's top ranking with his premier form through 66.0 innings, accounting for a 3.08 xFIP, a 11.6% swinging strike rate, and nine more strikeouts in 45% of his recent appearances.
In a favorable opportunity versus five Boston hitters with strikeout percentages ranging between 24.4% to 33.3%, Gausman's path to surpass his 7.88 strikeout expectation and 40.0 FanDuel point projection will likely hinge on these matchups.
Ranger Suarez ($9,800)
In a divisional matchup versus a Washington Nationals' unit with a 17.6% K-rate and a .303 wOBA, Suarez stands third among today's 20 pitchers with a 34.3 FanDuel point projection.
Overall in his third largest sample size starting in the Majors, the 27-year old southpaw is trending towards several career-best metrics with his current 3.51 xFIP and an improved 7.1% walk percentage (career 8.1%)
While some may cringe at a recent 8.8% jump to his highest salary this season, Suarez offers underrated potential when analyzing his recent stellar form and 3.5 value rating.
Stacks
Colorado's Connor Seabold will make his 11th start this season in Coors Field versus a Tigers' offense with an eye-popping 6.0 expected run total.
Through 61.2 innings, the 27-year old right-hander has been one of the worst starters in the league this season, accounting for an ugly 5.55 xFIP, a below-average 16.4% strikeout percentage, and a generous 9.2% opposing barrel rate.
Ideal Detroit stacks should first involve their left-handed bats to attack Seabold's main weakness (career 6.21 xFIP) including Zach McKinstry (.339 expected wOBA, 9.6% barrel rate) and Kerry Carpenter (12.2% barrel rate, .342 expected wOBA) while Spencer Torkelson (.339 expected wOBA, 11.5% barrel rate), Andy Ibanez (.280 expected average, 12.5% barrel rate), Matt Vierling (.350 expected wOBA, .288 expected average), Jake Rogers (.348 expected wOBA, 16.1% barrel rate) offer pop from the right side.
Even after yesterday's underwhelming two run performance, the Rockies are another option to consider in a potential rebound opportunity versus Detroit right-hander Matt Manning.
In 165.2 career innings, Manning has overall profiled as a below-average starter during his Major League tenure, producing a 4.93 XFIP, 16.1% K-rate, and a bloated 8.2% walk percentage.
With left-handed bats providing the most trouble against Manning (5.16 xFIP, 10.3% walk rate), Ryan McMahon (.350 expected wOBA, 12.8% barrel rate), Nolan Jones (11.4% barrel rate, .367 expected wOBA, and Jurickson Profar (318 expected wOBA) are core options from the Rockies while C.J. Cron (.346 expected wOBA, 16.1% barrel rate), Elias Diaz (.326 expected wOBA, 7.9% barrel rate), and Kris Bryant (.336 expected wOBA, .263 expected average) are secondary options to mix in with their batted ball form.
Riding high after producing 19 runs on Saturday afternoon, Philadelphia's lineup has another chance to sustain their recent momentum against Trevor Williams and his troubling 4.81 xFIP through 80.0 innings this season.
To best attack Williams' current splits against left-handed bats (5.57 xFIP) , Kyle Schwarber (.363 expected wOBA, 16.1% barrel rate), Bryce Harper (368 expected wOBA, 12.7% barrel rate), Bryson Stott (.262 expected average), Darick Hall (.261 expected average), and Brandon Marsh (9.2% barrel rate) should be included in potential Philadelphia stacks.
