MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 28-19 96-66 97.2% 22.6% 71.7% 1.62
#2 Kansas City Royals 29-18 87-75 67.8% 4.9% 40.5% 0.88
#3 Tampa Bay Rays 24-25 84-78 49.2% 6.1% 35.3% 0.78
#4 San Francisco Giants 30-20 91-71 85.2% 7.6% 27.7% 0.75
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 32-16 95-67 95.1% 12.0% 84.3% 0.74
#6 Oakland Athletics 19-32 78-84 11.6% 1.0% 4.9% 0.67
#7 Houston Astros 30-19 85-77 55.8% 2.8% 36.5% 0.58
#8 Detroit Tigers 28-22 87-75 70.5% 7.7% 42.7% 0.55
#9 Toronto Blue Jays 23-27 81-81 27.6% 2.8% 16.5% 0.49
#10 Baltimore Orioles 23-24 82-80 35.1% 3.9% 23.3% 0.32
#11 New York Mets 27-22 84-78 39.7% 2.0% 17.8% 0.31
#12 New York Yankees 25-24 81-81 27.0% 2.0% 17.2% 0.26
#13 Cleveland Indians 22-26 81-81 26.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.22
#14 Chicago Cubs 25-22 83-79 27.3% 1.0% 5.0% 0.20
#15 Washington Nationals 28-20 91-71 87.8% 9.6% 79.2% 0.19
#16 Pittsburgh Pirates 25-23 85-77 46.1% 2.0% 10.4% 0.07
#17 Seattle Mariners 24-24 83-79 42.7% 3.4% 26.3% -0.03
#18 Los Angeles Angels 25-24 84-78 47.4% 4.6% 29.8% -0.07
#19 Cincinnati Reds 20-27 74-88 2.6% 0.1% 0.3% -0.28
#20 Arizona Diamondbacks 22-25 73-89 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% -0.37
#21 San Diego Padres 24-26 79-83 10.0% 0.3% 0.6% -0.51
#22 Texas Rangers 24-25 76-86 5.2% 0.2% 2.5% -0.51
#23 Minnesota Twins 28-19 80-82 18.8% 0.4% 6.2% -0.71
#24 Miami Marlins 19-30 72-90 1.2% 0.0% 0.3% -0.75
#25 Boston Red Sox 22-27 78-84 12.7% 0.7% 7.6% -0.75
#26 Atlanta Braves 23-25 77-85 6.7% 0.3% 2.7% -0.92
#27 Colorado Rockies 20-26 71-91 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -1.04
#28 Chicago White Sox 22-25 74-88 2.4% 0.0% 0.4% -1.16
#29 Milwaukee Brewers 16-33 69-93 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.39
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 19-31 66-96 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.65