MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Angels 83-53 100.0% 18.0% 90.5% 0.97
#2 Oakland Athletics 78-58 98.6% 10.1% 9.4% 0.95
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 77-60 98.9% 18.8% 84.4% 0.81
#4 Seattle Mariners 73-62 46.7% 2.3% 0.1% 0.59
#5 San Francisco Giants 74-62 82.4% 5.6% 15.6% 0.55
#6 Washington Nationals 77-58 99.2% 12.8% 95.5% 0.54
#7 Tampa Bay Rays 66-71 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.42
#8 Baltimore Orioles 79-56 99.4% 9.6% 99.0% 0.36
#9 Cleveland Indians 70-64 28.5% 2.1% 16.6% 0.35
#10 Pittsburgh Pirates 71-65 40.2% 2.5% 14.8% 0.27
#11 St. Louis Cardinals 73-63 75.6% 5.2% 51.9% 0.24
#12 Detroit Tigers 74-62 65.1% 6.0% 50.8% 0.24
#13 Toronto Blue Jays 69-67 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.10
#14 Milwaukee Brewers 73-63 61.2% 3.0% 33.1% 0.04
#15 New York Yankees 70-65 9.0% 0.2% 1.0% -0.06
#16 San Diego Padres 64-71 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% -0.13
#17 Atlanta Braves 72-65 41.2% 1.2% 4.5% -0.13
#18 Kansas City Royals 74-61 50.4% 2.5% 32.6% -0.16
#19 Cincinnati Reds 66-71 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% -0.25
#20 Chicago Cubs 61-76 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.26
#21 Miami Marlins 66-69 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.47
#22 New York Mets 64-73 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.51
#23 Philadelphia Phillies 62-74 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.54
#24 Chicago White Sox 62-75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.55
#25 Houston Astros 59-79 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.55
#26 Minnesota Twins 59-77 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.59
#27 Boston Red Sox 60-76 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.67
#28 Arizona Diamondbacks 57-79 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.93
#29 Colorado Rockies 54-82 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.98
#30 Texas Rangers 53-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.47