MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 60-40 94-68 95.8% 21.4% 88.5% 1.79
#2 Boston Red Sox 55-44 89-73 71.4% 8.9% 27.2% 1.23
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 57-45 91-71 88.6% 12.9% 50.9% 1.18
#4 Washington Nationals 59-42 92-70 92.7% 10.4% 79.0% 1.12
#5 Cleveland Indians 57-42 91-71 92.6% 12.4% 88.2% 1.03
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 54-47 86-76 44.2% 3.0% 10.3% 0.98
#7 Toronto Blue Jays 57-45 89-73 78.8% 9.7% 37.2% 0.93
#8 San Francisco Giants 59-42 91-71 85.8% 5.3% 49.1% 0.65
#9 Seattle Mariners 51-49 84-78 28.0% 2.0% 17.7% 0.61
#10 Miami Marlins 55-46 86-76 36.0% 1.4% 9.2% 0.40
#11 New York Mets 53-47 86-76 46.2% 1.6% 11.8% 0.38
#12 Houston Astros 55-46 86-76 42.0% 2.4% 27.5% 0.35
#13 Baltimore Orioles 58-42 89-73 74.5% 2.9% 33.5% 0.26
#14 Detroit Tigers 54-48 84-78 27.4% 1.8% 9.8% 0.09
#15 New York Yankees 52-49 82-80 13.4% 0.4% 2.1% -0.08
#16 Pittsburgh Pirates 52-48 82-80 10.0% 0.3% 1.2% -0.11
#17 Tampa Bay Rays 39-61 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.24
#18 San Diego Padres 44-58 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.30
#19 Los Angeles Angels 45-56 75-87 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.33
#20 Texas Rangers 58-44 88-74 66.1% 3.1% 54.6% -0.43
#21 Kansas City Royals 49-51 78-84 2.0% 0.1% 0.7% -0.47
#22 Chicago White Sox 50-51 79-83 3.4% 0.0% 1.3% -0.49
#23 Colorado Rockies 49-52 77-85 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% -0.54
#24 Oakland Athletics 47-55 74-88 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.58
#25 Arizona Diamondbacks 42-59 70-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.63
#26 Milwaukee Brewers 43-56 73-89 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.71
#27 Minnesota Twins 37-63 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.91
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 46-57 73-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.95
#29 Atlanta Braves 35-66 62-100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.09
#30 Cincinnati Reds 40-61 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.39