MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Toronto Blue Jays 72-56 91-71 99.5% 18.2% 80.0% 1.08
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 71-56 92-70 85.9% 18.7% 81.0% 1.06
#3 Houston Astros 71-58 89-73 96.9% 10.3% 90.7% 0.83
#4 San Francisco Giants 69-59 88-74 32.9% 3.5% 18.9% 0.68
#5 Cleveland Indians 61-66 80-82 9.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.57
#6 New York Mets 71-57 91-71 96.7% 11.6% 96.7% 0.54
#7 St. Louis Cardinals 82-46 100-62 99.9% 7.4% 79.1% 0.48
#8 New York Yankees 70-57 88-74 91.6% 3.9% 19.6% 0.43
#9 Kansas City Royals 79-49 97-65 100.0% 14.7% 100.0% 0.41
#10 Tampa Bay Rays 63-65 80-82 12.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.38
#11 Pittsburgh Pirates 78-49 97-65 99.6% 5.9% 20.3% 0.37
#12 Oakland Athletics 55-74 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.35
#13 Chicago Cubs 73-54 91-71 80.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.34
#14 Washington Nationals 64-63 83-79 4.0% 0.2% 3.3% 0.18
#15 Baltimore Orioles 63-65 80-82 8.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.09
#16 Detroit Tigers 60-68 76-86 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01
#17 Los Angeles Angels 65-63 82-80 23.4% 0.5% 3.2% -0.06
#18 Seattle Mariners 60-69 76-86 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% -0.17
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 63-65 79-83 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.18
#20 Cincinnati Reds 52-75 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.21
#21 San Diego Padres 62-66 79-83 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.22
#22 Boston Red Sox 59-69 75-87 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.35
#23 Miami Marlins 52-77 68-94 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.51
#24 Texas Rangers 66-61 83-79 34.2% 0.7% 6.0% -0.54
#25 Chicago White Sox 60-67 76-86 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% -0.69
#26 Milwaukee Brewers 54-74 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.69
#27 Minnesota Twins 66-62 81-81 22.0% 0.2% 0.0% -0.77
#28 Atlanta Braves 54-74 68-94 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.17
#29 Philadelphia Phillies 51-78 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.35
#30 Colorado Rockies 51-75 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.45