MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Oakland Athletics 66-40 100.0% 20.0% 76.4% 1.29
#2 Los Angeles Angels 63-42 97.7% 10.0% 23.5% 1.11
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 60-47 95.0% 18.2% 84.5% 0.84
#4 Tampa Bay Rays 53-54 15.2% 1.0% 7.0% 0.52
#5 Seattle Mariners 55-51 28.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.51
#6 Washington Nationals 57-47 80.6% 7.8% 64.0% 0.44
#7 Toronto Blue Jays 58-50 54.2% 3.7% 32.0% 0.40
#8 Detroit Tigers 57-46 82.9% 10.3% 79.8% 0.36
#9 St. Louis Cardinals 56-49 62.8% 5.8% 32.4% 0.34
#10 Pittsburgh Pirates 57-49 64.2% 5.1% 32.8% 0.30
#11 San Francisco Giants 57-50 51.8% 2.9% 15.4% 0.17
#12 Milwaukee Brewers 59-49 56.3% 3.2% 27.8% 0.16
#13 Cleveland Indians 52-54 15.4% 1.0% 9.9% 0.15
#14 Baltimore Orioles 59-46 68.1% 3.8% 50.6% -0.02
#15 Cincinnati Reds 53-53 21.2% 1.4% 7.0% -0.03
#16 Atlanta Braves 58-49 56.8% 2.8% 31.8% -0.17
#17 New York Yankees 55-51 21.8% 1.0% 10.2% -0.17
#18 Chicago White Sox 52-55 4.0% 0.2% 2.7% -0.24
#19 New York Mets 51-56 4.0% 0.0% 1.6% -0.28
#20 San Diego Padres 47-59 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% -0.32
#21 Chicago Cubs 44-61 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.39
#22 Kansas City Royals 53-52 11.4% 0.6% 7.2% -0.42
#23 Miami Marlins 53-53 6.7% 0.2% 2.6% -0.43
#24 Boston Red Sox 48-59 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% -0.54
#25 Minnesota Twins 48-57 0.5% 0.0% 0.4% -0.64
#26 Philadelphia Phillies 47-60 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.65
#27 Houston Astros 43-64 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.74
#28 Colorado Rockies 43-63 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.77
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 46-61 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.83
#30 Texas Rangers 42-65 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.54