MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Kansas City Royals 12-6 85-77 50.7% 3.5% 28.3% 2.19
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 11-7 98-64 98.4% 27.2% 92.9% 1.80
#3 Tampa Bay Rays 11-8 87-75 63.9% 7.0% 40.6% 1.76
#4 St. Louis Cardinals 12-5 94-68 91.9% 12.4% 70.1% 1.58
#5 Detroit Tigers 13-6 89-73 74.2% 8.8% 58.0% 1.52
#6 Oakland Athletics 8-12 83-79 42.7% 4.7% 29.0% 1.33
#7 Houston Astros 11-7 80-82 20.6% 0.8% 11.9% 1.04
#8 Baltimore Orioles 9-10 84-78 41.9% 3.1% 19.0% 1.03
#9 New York Yankees 11-8 81-81 26.0% 1.3% 10.4% 0.89
#10 San Diego Padres 11-9 83-79 34.3% 0.9% 3.6% 0.84
#11 New York Mets 14-5 84-78 52.0% 1.9% 39.0% 0.77
#12 Chicago Cubs 10-7 82-80 31.3% 0.8% 6.2% 0.52
#13 Miami Marlins 8-11 76-86 7.8% 0.2% 4.6% 0.12
#14 Pittsburgh Pirates 11-8 88-74 67.4% 4.4% 22.9% -0.12
#15 Toronto Blue Jays 9-10 81-81 22.7% 1.6% 9.1% -0.19
#16 Cincinnati Reds 8-10 76-86 6.2% 0.1% 0.8% -0.26
#17 Atlanta Braves 9-9 79-83 16.4% 0.6% 10.0% -0.27
#18 Seattle Mariners 7-11 82-80 36.4% 3.2% 25.7% -0.45
#19 Boston Red Sox 10-9 84-78 41.9% 3.6% 20.9% -0.48
#20 Los Angeles Angels 9-10 84-78 45.8% 4.8% 32.7% -0.54
#21 San Francisco Giants 8-11 82-80 31.0% 1.7% 3.3% -0.62
#22 Colorado Rockies 10-8 74-88 3.4% 0.0% 0.2% -0.65
#23 Chicago White Sox 8-9 76-86 7.7% 0.2% 3.0% -0.93
#24 Cleveland Indians 6-11 80-82 21.6% 1.2% 10.0% -1.01
#25 Arizona Diamondbacks 8-10 68-94 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -1.11
#26 Washington Nationals 7-12 85-77 58.6% 5.8% 46.3% -1.35
#27 Minnesota Twins 8-10 72-90 2.2% 0.0% 0.7% -1.78
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 7-12 68-94 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -2.09
#29 Texas Rangers 7-11 71-91 1.5% 0.0% 0.8% -2.21
#30 Milwaukee Brewers 4-15 70-92 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% -2.31