MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 17-6 89-73 79.8% 15.0% 62.6% 2.87
#2 St. Louis Cardinals 12-13 82-80 35.8% 3.7% 13.8% 1.59
#3 Boston Red Sox 15-10 85-77 58.6% 7.2% 38.4% 1.31
#4 New York Mets 15-8 87-75 68.7% 9.2% 39.8% 1.18
#5 Washington Nationals 17-7 88-74 74.4% 8.8% 45.8% 1.17
#6 Baltimore Orioles 14-10 82-80 41.1% 3.9% 22.8% 1.14
#7 Seattle Mariners 13-11 84-78 49.8% 5.2% 37.0% 0.98
#8 Pittsburgh Pirates 15-10 84-78 44.3% 3.8% 21.0% 0.88
#9 Los Angeles Dodgers 13-13 84-78 52.1% 7.6% 40.8% 0.79
#10 Chicago White Sox 18-8 85-77 61.0% 4.2% 40.2% 0.73
#11 Tampa Bay Rays 11-13 80-82 23.8% 1.7% 11.7% 0.44
#12 Cleveland Indians 10-12 81-81 30.0% 2.7% 15.0% 0.43
#13 Miami Marlins 12-12 81-81 27.8% 0.9% 9.0% 0.28
#14 Toronto Blue Jays 12-14 82-80 38.6% 5.3% 21.5% 0.11
#15 Kansas City Royals 13-11 82-80 35.1% 2.5% 17.6% 0.06
#16 Detroit Tigers 14-10 83-79 46.1% 3.6% 26.1% 0.00
#17 San Francisco Giants 13-13 82-80 35.2% 2.5% 24.6% -0.03
#18 Colorado Rockies 12-12 80-82 23.6% 1.5% 15.5% -0.08
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 12-15 80-82 23.2% 1.8% 15.3% -0.27
#20 Oakland Athletics 13-13 80-82 26.8% 1.8% 16.7% -0.34
#21 Philadelphia Phillies 15-10 80-82 19.9% 0.3% 5.3% -0.37
#22 Los Angeles Angels 12-13 80-82 29.2% 2.2% 18.6% -0.40
#23 Texas Rangers 14-11 81-81 33.6% 2.2% 21.2% -0.77
#24 New York Yankees 8-15 77-85 12.1% 1.0% 5.6% -0.90
#25 Minnesota Twins 7-18 72-90 2.1% 0.0% 1.0% -0.92
#26 Houston Astros 8-17 77-85 12.1% 0.8% 6.5% -1.00
#27 San Diego Padres 9-16 75-87 6.2% 0.2% 3.8% -1.07
#28 Cincinnati Reds 10-15 75-87 4.9% 0.0% 1.5% -1.91
#29 Atlanta Braves 6-18 70-92 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% -2.27
#30 Milwaukee Brewers 9-15 74-88 3.6% 0.1% 1.1% -2.35