MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 48-24 98-64 99.4% 24.8% 95.8% 2.28
#2 Boston Red Sox 41-32 88-74 70.2% 10.2% 42.1% 1.57
#3 St. Louis Cardinals 38-34 86-76 51.7% 3.0% 4.2% 1.13
#4 Cleveland Indians 42-30 89-73 82.4% 12.0% 71.4% 1.05
#5 Washington Nationals 43-31 90-72 83.6% 8.8% 66.6% 1.04
#6 Los Angeles Dodgers 41-34 88-74 69.2% 5.7% 20.8% 0.95
#7 San Francisco Giants 48-27 93-69 95.5% 8.0% 77.8% 0.75
#8 Toronto Blue Jays 40-35 86-76 52.6% 5.2% 23.3% 0.74
#9 Seattle Mariners 37-37 83-79 27.8% 1.8% 10.2% 0.72
#10 New York Mets 39-33 86-76 50.4% 3.5% 22.1% 0.48
#11 Baltimore Orioles 42-30 86-76 58.3% 4.1% 29.2% 0.37
#12 Houston Astros 38-36 83-79 31.8% 2.2% 12.4% 0.33
#13 Detroit Tigers 38-36 83-79 31.7% 2.0% 13.7% 0.19
#14 Miami Marlins 39-35 83-79 30.9% 0.8% 11.3% 0.13
#15 Texas Rangers 47-27 91-71 88.1% 4.7% 76.6% -0.05
#16 Arizona Diamondbacks 36-40 79-83 8.6% 0.3% 1.0% -0.06
#17 Tampa Bay Rays 31-40 76-86 2.5% 0.1% 0.6% -0.09
#18 Kansas City Royals 38-34 82-80 26.6% 1.4% 11.2% -0.12
#19 New York Yankees 36-36 80-82 16.5% 0.9% 4.8% -0.19
#20 Pittsburgh Pirates 35-39 78-84 5.8% 0.2% 0.0% -0.31
#21 Los Angeles Angels 31-43 74-88 1.0% 0.0% 0.4% -0.46
#22 San Diego Padres 32-43 73-89 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% -0.50
#23 Colorado Rockies 34-39 77-85 3.4% 0.0% 0.3% -0.53
#24 Chicago White Sox 37-37 79-83 9.8% 0.3% 3.6% -0.69
#25 Milwaukee Brewers 33-40 74-88 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% -0.75
#26 Oakland Athletics 31-42 73-89 0.8% 0.0% 0.4% -0.84
#27 Atlanta Braves 25-48 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.12
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 31-44 70-92 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -1.41
#29 Minnesota Twins 23-50 62-100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.51
#30 Cincinnati Reds 28-46 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.77