MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 29-14 92-70 92.0% 19.3% 76.3% 2.42
#2 Boston Red Sox 27-17 88-74 76.6% 11.9% 52.7% 1.93
#3 St. Louis Cardinals 24-21 85-77 46.4% 4.0% 14.5% 1.36
#4 Seattle Mariners 26-18 87-75 74.8% 9.7% 64.2% 1.23
#5 Los Angeles Dodgers 23-23 85-77 48.7% 6.7% 30.8% 0.98
#6 New York Mets 26-18 88-74 70.3% 7.7% 40.4% 0.87
#7 Washington Nationals 27-18 88-74 70.6% 6.8% 45.3% 0.85
#8 Baltimore Orioles 26-16 84-78 45.6% 3.7% 21.4% 0.74
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 20-22 80-82 20.4% 1.7% 6.8% 0.62
#10 Cleveland Indians 23-20 84-78 49.0% 4.3% 30.0% 0.56
#11 Toronto Blue Jays 22-24 82-80 28.4% 2.2% 10.6% 0.44
#12 Chicago White Sox 27-19 85-77 52.4% 3.0% 34.6% 0.43
#13 San Francisco Giants 28-19 87-75 66.8% 5.6% 53.8% 0.32
#14 Pittsburgh Pirates 24-19 83-79 31.0% 1.8% 9.0% 0.29
#15 Miami Marlins 23-21 82-80 26.8% 0.7% 9.7% 0.07
#16 Arizona Diamondbacks 21-25 79-83 15.0% 0.8% 7.4% -0.07
#17 Detroit Tigers 22-22 82-80 32.8% 2.6% 18.7% -0.10
#18 New York Yankees 21-22 81-81 23.1% 1.1% 8.5% -0.22
#19 Kansas City Royals 23-21 82-80 31.3% 1.4% 16.6% -0.29
#20 Los Angeles Angels 21-24 79-83 17.7% 1.6% 9.2% -0.48
#21 Colorado Rockies 21-22 79-83 13.6% 0.3% 6.9% -0.51
#22 Houston Astros 17-28 76-86 6.7% 0.4% 3.8% -0.54
#23 Texas Rangers 25-20 82-80 33.0% 1.7% 18.7% -0.63
#24 Philadelphia Phillies 25-20 79-83 14.5% 0.2% 4.6% -0.74
#25 Oakland Athletics 20-26 77-85 8.2% 0.3% 4.1% -1.03
#26 San Diego Padres 19-27 74-88 2.3% 0.1% 1.2% -1.16
#27 Milwaukee Brewers 18-26 73-89 1.7% 0.0% 0.2% -1.24
#28 Atlanta Braves 12-31 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.61
#29 Minnesota Twins 11-33 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.77
#30 Cincinnati Reds 15-30 69-93 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -2.14