MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 88-66 100.0% 20.7% 94.8% 0.97
#2 Los Angeles Angels 95-59 100.0% 18.1% 100.0% 0.91
#3 Oakland Athletics 84-69 88.9% 6.7% 0.0% 0.81
#4 Washington Nationals 89-64 100.0% 13.0% 100.0% 0.63
#5 Pittsburgh Pirates 83-70 98.0% 5.4% 12.2% 0.58
#6 Seattle Mariners 83-70 53.7% 2.5% 0.0% 0.51
#7 Baltimore Orioles 92-61 100.0% 11.0% 100.0% 0.51
#8 San Francisco Giants 84-69 99.8% 5.7% 5.2% 0.50
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 74-80 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.42
#10 Detroit Tigers 85-68 95.4% 7.8% 82.8% 0.37
#11 St. Louis Cardinals 86-68 100.0% 7.1% 87.8% 0.25
#12 Cleveland Indians 79-74 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.22
#13 Toronto Blue Jays 77-76 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.16
#14 New York Yankees 79-74 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.08
#15 Milwaukee Brewers 79-75 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.09
#16 Kansas City Royals 83-69 60.1% 1.9% 17.2% -0.17
#17 San Diego Padres 72-81 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.23
#18 Atlanta Braves 76-77 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.30
#19 New York Mets 74-80 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.41
#20 Chicago Cubs 68-86 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.43
#21 Cincinnati Reds 71-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.43
#22 Miami Marlins 74-79 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.45
#23 Houston Astros 67-87 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.47
#24 Minnesota Twins 66-87 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.60
#25 Chicago White Sox 70-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.64
#26 Philadelphia Phillies 70-84 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.66
#27 Boston Red Sox 67-87 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.75
#28 Colorado Rockies 63-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.78
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 62-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.09
#30 Texas Rangers 61-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.30