MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Oakland Athletics 78-55 99.2% 13.2% 34.2% 1.02
#2 Los Angeles Angels 80-53 99.8% 14.8% 65.2% 0.94
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 76-58 99.3% 17.7% 90.1% 0.77
#4 Seattle Mariners 72-60 51.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.63
#5 Washington Nationals 75-57 97.9% 11.7% 93.4% 0.52
#6 Tampa Bay Rays 65-69 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.43
#7 San Francisco Giants 71-62 68.0% 4.2% 9.9% 0.38
#8 Cleveland Indians 68-64 13.2% 1.2% 6.6% 0.35
#9 Baltimore Orioles 76-56 97.0% 8.7% 95.8% 0.29
#10 Detroit Tigers 72-60 61.1% 6.0% 42.8% 0.25
#11 Pittsburgh Pirates 69-64 35.2% 2.2% 8.1% 0.23
#12 St. Louis Cardinals 71-61 75.5% 6.0% 39.4% 0.21
#13 Milwaukee Brewers 73-60 83.6% 6.2% 52.3% 0.20
#14 Toronto Blue Jays 67-66 1.9% 0.1% 0.8% 0.06
#15 San Diego Padres 62-70 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% -0.04
#16 New York Yankees 69-63 7.5% 0.4% 3.1% -0.07
#17 Kansas City Royals 74-59 68.4% 3.6% 50.6% -0.14
#18 Atlanta Braves 70-64 38.0% 1.0% 6.4% -0.15
#19 Cincinnati Reds 65-69 1.0% 0.0% 0.2% -0.21
#20 Chicago Cubs 59-74 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.23
#21 Miami Marlins 65-67 1.1% 0.0% 0.3% -0.43
#22 New York Mets 62-72 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.48
#23 Minnesota Twins 59-74 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.54
#24 Chicago White Sox 60-73 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.58
#25 Philadelphia Phillies 61-72 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.59
#26 Houston Astros 57-78 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.60
#27 Boston Red Sox 58-75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.70
#28 Colorado Rockies 53-80 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.92
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 55-78 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.00
#30 Texas Rangers 52-81 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.46