MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 56-44 90-72 89.5% 18.8% 62.3% 1.06
#2 Houston Astros 55-45 87-75 78.6% 7.8% 43.1% 0.79
#3 Toronto Blue Jays 50-50 83-79 42.6% 4.1% 13.4% 0.70
#4 San Francisco Giants 55-44 88-74 78.6% 7.8% 37.1% 0.62
#5 Oakland Athletics 44-56 76-86 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.55
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 64-35 98-64 99.8% 13.7% 89.1% 0.55
#7 New York Yankees 56-42 89-73 89.8% 9.0% 75.1% 0.55
#8 Kansas City Royals 60-38 92-70 98.4% 10.2% 94.6% 0.53
#9 Los Angeles Angels 55-43 88-74 85.6% 10.3% 55.4% 0.53
#10 Tampa Bay Rays 50-51 81-81 24.3% 1.4% 5.6% 0.20
#11 Pittsburgh Pirates 57-41 90-72 86.8% 4.4% 10.4% 0.19
#12 Baltimore Orioles 49-49 81-81 24.0% 1.4% 5.4% 0.15
#13 Chicago Cubs 52-46 84-78 29.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.11
#14 New York Mets 51-48 83-79 39.6% 1.9% 32.5% 0.08
#15 Washington Nationals 52-45 86-76 70.2% 5.9% 65.6% 0.08
#16 Cleveland Indians 45-53 77-85 4.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.03
#17 Detroit Tigers 48-51 79-83 8.5% 0.3% 0.9% -0.01
#18 Cincinnati Reds 43-54 74-88 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.05
#19 Seattle Mariners 46-54 78-84 5.8% 0.3% 0.8% -0.18
#20 Miami Marlins 41-58 72-90 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% -0.22
#21 Arizona Diamondbacks 47-51 76-86 1.5% 0.1% 0.2% -0.31
#22 San Diego Padres 47-52 78-84 2.0% 0.0% 0.4% -0.43
#23 Boston Red Sox 44-56 74-88 1.2% 0.0% 0.4% -0.51
#24 Milwaukee Brewers 43-57 73-89 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.64
#25 Minnesota Twins 52-46 82-80 26.9% 0.8% 3.9% -0.67
#26 Texas Rangers 47-51 77-85 4.1% 0.1% 0.4% -0.68
#27 Atlanta Braves 46-53 76-86 2.2% 0.0% 1.6% -0.94
#28 Chicago White Sox 47-50 77-85 3.6% 0.2% 0.3% -0.95
#29 Colorado Rockies 42-55 70-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.05
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 37-63 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.53