FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Helper: Saturday 7/1/23
Our daily helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and help give you a starting point when you're building lineups. Be sure to also incorporate our great tools into your research process.
Whether you're looking for daily projections, the latest starting lineups and weather, or batting and pitching heat maps to find the best matchups -- we've got you covered!
Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
| Team | Opp SP | Opp | O/U | Moneyline | Implied Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | Zack Wheeler | PHI | 8.5 | 180 | 3.57 |
| PIT | Corbin Burnes | MIL | 8 | 122 | 3.73 |
| OAK | Dylan Cease | CHW | 8.5 | 152 | 3.74 |
| HOU | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | 8 | 114 | 3.8 |
| SF | Justin Verlander | NYM | 8.5 | 126 | 3.93 |
| MIA | Charlie Morton | ATL | 9 | 142 | 4.03 |
| MIN | Kyle Bradish | BAL | 8.5 | 110 | 4.07 |
| TEX | Hunter Brown | HOU | 8 | -134 | 4.2 |
| MIL | Johan Oviedo | PIT | 8 | -144 | 4.27 |
| BAL | Bailey Ober | MIN | 8.5 | -130 | 4.43 |
| NYM | Anthony DeSclafani | SF | 8.5 | -148 | 4.57 |
| CHW | Kyle Muller | OAK | 8.5 | -180 | 4.76 |
| PHI | MacKenzie Gore | WSH | 8.5 | -215 | 4.93 |
| ATL | Eury Perez | MIA | 9 | -168 | 4.97 |
Pitchers
Zack Wheeler ($10,500)
At his lowest salary since May 27th, Philadelphia's right-hander ranks second among Saturday's pitchers in several categories with his 38.6 fantasy expectation and 7.13 strikeout projection against a Washington Nationals' offense with a vulnerable .288 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and a 23.3% K-rate in this split in their last 1596 plate appearances.
While Wheeler has not been in premier form in his last five starts (4.13 xFIP in 28.1 innings), the 33-year old has still provided a steady floor with a 11.7% swinging strike rate, a 24.6% strikeout percentage, and seven or more punch-outs in 60% of these appearances.
Dylan Cease ($10,300)
Saturday's top rated pitcher has a mouth-watering opportunity versus an Oakland Athletics' lineup with a .292 wOBA and a 27.1% K-rate including six batters with strikeout percentages between 24.6% and 33.6%.
In his last five appearances, the White Sox's hard throwing right-hander has really gained momentum after a tough beginning of the season, accounting for an impressive 2.89 xFIP, a scorching 36.8% K-rate, and 40 or more FanDuel points in 80% of his starts.
Although Cease's FanDuel salary has surged 7.2% since his last outing, the 27-year old still rates second in value with a 3.82 rating and first overall with a 39.3 FanDuel point projection.
Charlie Morton ($9,800)
Atlanta's reliable veteran is another option to consider despite a tough matchup against a Miami Marlins' unit accounting for a 23.2% K-rate and a .305 wOBA.
Through his last five appearances, Morton has provided efficient production despite a lack of endurance (one start over five innings) with a solid 3.83 xFIP and a 30.1% K-rate while also recording seven or more strikeouts in four of these appearances.
With today's highest strikeout prediction at 7.23, the 39-year old should have several opportunities to exceed his expected number versus five projected batters with K-rates ranging from 24.4% to 29.7%.
Stacks
After a 16-run display on Friday night, Atlanta's elite offense continues to be rated highly with a 4.97 expected run total versus Marlins' young right-hander Eury Perez.
In nine starts this season, while the 20-year old has started his MLB career in impressive fashion with a 1.34 Earned Run Average and a 29.2% K-rate, the rookie right-hander is due for some regression when observing his 3.83 xFIP and an unsustainable 94.1% left on-base percentage.
With his main weakness occurring versus left-handed bats (4.16 xFIP, 11.8% walk rate), ideal Atlanta stacks should feature their top patient power hitters from the opposing side of the plate including Matt Olson (.389 expected wOBA, 20.3% barrel rate), Ozzie Albies (.337 expected wOBA, 9.1% barrel rate), Eddie Rosario (.326 expected wOBA, 11.5% barrel rate), and Michael Harris II (.336 expected wOBA, 9.1% barrel rate).
In a potential favorable spot against Kyle Muller, the White Sox are another stack to consider with a 4.76 expected run total due to the left-hander's ugly 5.26 xFIP and his inability to get outs versus right-handed bats (.360 wOBA, 502 xFIP).
To best attack his glaring splits, Chicago stacks can feature their top bats from the right side including Eloy Jimenez (12.6% barrel rate, .334 expected wOBA), Andrew Vaughn (.344 expected wOBA, 10.2% barrel rate), Luis Robert (.361 expected wOBA, 15.8% barrel rate), Jake Burger (.344 expected wOBA, 18.7% barrel rate), and Tim Anderson (.266 expected average).
Despite scoring just nine runs in their last three games, the Orioles could be an undervalued offense at home against Bailey Ober and a matchup versus a right-hander with expected metrics (4.35 xFIP) almost two runs higher than his current 2.97 Earned Run Average.
Ideal Baltimore combinations should group together their best left-handed bats against his main weakness (4.77 xFIP, 7.7% walk rate) including Adley Rutschman (.365 expected wOBA, .278 expected average), Anthony Santander (10.4% barrel rate), Ryan O'Hearn (.349 expected wOBA, 14.5% barrel rate), Gunnar Henderson (.348 expected wOBA, 12.8% barrel rate), Cedric Mullins (.331 expected career wOBA) or Aaron Hicks (6.5% barrel rate).
