5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 11

Eli Manning - Not Terrible with a High Total

Please wait until the end of the slide before you start to throw things at me -- because Eli Manning is in a particularly nice spot this week.

He faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense which, according to numberFire's Power Rankings, is only the 29th best pass defense. The New York Giants' game has an over/under of 52, and Manning has been at his best when playing in high-total games.

Most notably, he throws over five more times per game in shootouts, which is exactly what fantasy players want to see against the Bucs' defense. He is a top-three value play at just $6,700 this week with 2.78 projected points per $1,000. Hold your breath and take the savings with Manning.