NFL

5 Daily Fantasy Football Matchups to Exploit in Week 6

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers' Passing Offense

Because of what Matt Ryan has done this year, he's the name-brand quarterback in this matchup. He's clearly in play for tournaments.

But if we want to get up to Gurley in cash, $900 can go a long way. That's the gap between Ryan and Jameis Winston, and it's a discount we should happily take.

This will be Winston's first start of the year, and he truly couldn't have asked for a better spot to enter. Not only are the Bucs coming off a bye, but they get to play indoors against a defense that is absolutely reeling.

Thanks to a laundry list of injuries, the Falcons have fallen all the way to 27th against the pass, according to numberFire's metrics. That includes Week 1 when both Keanu Neal and Deion Jones were healthy. Things have been just abysmal ever since.

Each of the past four quarterbacks to face the Falcons has thrown three touchdowns. Ben Roethlisberger was the only guy not to also throw for at least 330 yards, but that was because the Pittsburgh Steelers got out in front early and were able to coast. The Buccaneers probably aren't going to have that same luxury here thanks to the aforementioned delectable matchup in Atlanta's favor.

The Falcons have also struggled to stop the run, but the Bucs can't get anything going there, either. And with how good the passing offense has been, why would they even want to try?

The Bucs enter Week 6 as numberFire's fourth-ranked passing offense once you adjust for their schedule. We know that Ryan Fitzpatrick can run hot at times, but this likely goes beyond that. It seems moreso to indicate that the environment around the quarterback -- the offensive line and the pass-catchers -- is good enough to allow anybody to thrive.

That's why it's not a huge concern that we haven't seen much out of Winston this year. He has talent around him, and Fitzpatrick topped 28 FanDuel points in each of his first three games. Giving us Winston in that same situation at $7,400 is easy to love for both cash games and tournaments.

Talking yourself into Winston is easy. It's deciding who to pair him with that'll give you night sweats.

The easy answer -- and the right one -- is Mike Evans. Evans has 26.2% of the team's overall targets and 39.5% of the deep targets this year. At $8,000, he actually may be a hair underpriced.

But by being $8,000, Evans is difficult to afford on such a tough slate. He's worth building around, so that's not to say you shouldn't use him, but we will need some cheaper alternatives in this offense.

It originally looked like Cameron Brate would be that value play at $4,500 with O.J. Howard expected to miss some time, but that thought process got a kick in the tush this week.

Getting in a pair of limited practices does not ensure that Howard will be able to go this weekend. But it makes it far more cloudy than it looked previously and temporarily puts Brate on the backburner.

In the three games with Howard healthy, Brate's snap rate never exceeded 42.5%. That means that if Howard plays, Brate should be off the board. But if Howard does wind up sitting, we'll get a tight end who projects to play around 60% of the snaps in a plus matchup on a good offense. That would make him a mighty fine play at $4,500.

Assuming Howard does play, we can still entertain the possibility of using one of the other three wide receivers. They rotate snaps, taking them all out of play for cash games, but there's potentially some tournament appeal to be had.

In 2018 FanDuel Price Overall Targets Deep Targets Red-Zone Targets
DeSean Jackson $6,500 14.8% 18.4% 4.6%
Chris Gowdin $5,900 14.8% 15.8% 27.3%
Adam Humprhies $4,600 12.8% 2.6% 4.6%


Even though Adam Humphries has the highest snap rate of the trio -- and arguably the best matchup -- it's hard to stomach those market shares.

As with the other two, they're in play for tournaments but largely only when stacking this game. DeSean Jackson can snag a deep ball, and Chris Godwin gets enough red-zone looks to have multi-touchdown upside. Outside of those game stacks, though, Winston and Evans seems to be the only guys here worthy of our attention.