Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 12

Start Todd Gurley as a Favorite

The Los Angeles Rams are favored by 2.5 points against the New Orleans Saints, and in what could be the game of the week, we have our eye on Todd Gurley.

Gurley has been superb when the Rams have been favored this season, averaging 20.86 half-PPR points in seven games. He laid an egg in one of those and scored just four fantasy points versus the Seahawks. If you remove that game, his average is 23.66 fantasy points per game.

He's also seeing a decrease in price. The last two times Gurley was favored, his price was $9,100 and $9,600 on FanDuel. This week, his price is $8,500. While that's still high and ranks second among running backs, there is good reason to believe Gurley will reach his value.