NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 5/8/23
Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place live in-game props with ease.
Please note that betting lines and our daily projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mitchell Robinson Over 5.5 Points (-110)
Mitchell Robinson's role has been shrinking in this series, falling to the level of two points and two shot attempts in just 14 minutes in Game 3.
But I'm not sure that's the kind of role we should expect for Robinson moving forward, and if his minutes return to a fairly normal level, six points is a pretty low bar for him to clear.
Prior to Game 3, Robinson had netted at least six points in 10 of his previous 11 games dating back to the regular season. He's averaging 6.9 points and 26.3 minutes per night in the playoffs, and he scored six and seven points in the first two games of this series.
Our model projects Robinson right near his playoff averages in terms of points and minutes, pegging him to score 6.0 points in 27.7 minutes.
Austin Reaves Over 3.5 Rebounds (-152)
Austin Reaves has become a critical piece for the Los Angeles Lakers. He's playing 34.7 minutes per night in the postseason -- up from 28.8 minutes per game in the regular season -- and that's a big reason why I'm into this over.
Reaves is averaging 8.3 rebound chances per game in the playoffs. He has snagged at least four boards in seven of his past eight contests. The lone exception in that span was a two-rebound outing in Game 3, a game where he had just 5.0 rebound chances. That was likely just random variance as Reaves still logged 29.6 minutes in Game 3.
The matchup helps, too, as Golden State gave up the most rebounds per game to small forwards over the final 15 games of the regular season (7.7).
We have Reaves totaling 4.3 rebounds in tonight's Game 4.
