NBA

5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on 3/27/18

Brett Oswalt  —  @bRo14thekid Mar 27th, 2018
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Gerald Green, SF, Houston Rockets

FanDuel Price: $3,700
Projected FanDuel Points: 26.0
Projected FanDuel Value: 7.04

On Tuesday night, the Houston Rockets are opting to rest James Harden and Clint Capela, but it's the continued absence of Luc Mbah a Moute that could make Gerald Green a must-play at his low price. Mbah a Moute's averaged 23.1 minutes in 15 games since the break, which should clear roughly 25 to 30 minutes for the veteran Green.

According to NBAWowy, Green has averaged 0.88 FanDuel points per minute and a 20.5% usage rate when Mbah a Moute has been off the floor this season. Without Harden, those numbers move to 0.94 FanDuel points and a 21.8% usage rate, and when you throw Capela into the splits, they increase to 0.97 and 22.4%, respectively.

Even if Green splits minutes with guys like Joe Johnson and P.J. Tucker, he should still see around 25 minutes on the court. That will give him a great chance to exceed five-times value at his price. In fact, Green is the top point-per-dollar play on the board, per our models.

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