MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Angels 93-55 100.0% 17.9% 100.0% 1.00
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 84-64 100.0% 17.6% 81.4% 0.98
#3 Oakland Athletics 82-66 92.2% 9.0% 0.0% 0.91
#4 Washington Nationals 84-63 100.0% 13.1% 100.0% 0.60
#5 San Francisco Giants 82-66 99.8% 6.4% 18.6% 0.56
#6 Seattle Mariners 80-67 42.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.53
#7 Pittsburgh Pirates 78-70 77.7% 4.0% 9.8% 0.46
#8 Baltimore Orioles 88-60 100.0% 10.6% 100.0% 0.46
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 71-78 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.38
#10 Detroit Tigers 82-66 86.4% 7.9% 64.4% 0.31
#11 Cleveland Indians 76-71 3.6% 0.1% 0.9% 0.27
#12 Toronto Blue Jays 77-70 4.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.26
#13 St. Louis Cardinals 82-67 99.3% 7.5% 89.2% 0.24
#14 New York Yankees 76-71 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.07
#15 Milwaukee Brewers 77-72 16.2% 0.5% 1.0% -0.10
#16 Kansas City Royals 81-66 70.1% 2.7% 34.6% -0.13
#17 Atlanta Braves 75-73 6.9% 0.2% 0.0% -0.23
#18 Cincinnati Reds 71-78 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.32
#19 San Diego Padres 68-79 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.35
#20 Miami Marlins 71-76 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.42
#21 Chicago Cubs 65-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.42
#22 New York Mets 72-77 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.44
#23 Houston Astros 65-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.49
#24 Chicago White Sox 68-80 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.57
#25 Philadelphia Phillies 69-79 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.59
#26 Minnesota Twins 62-86 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.66
#27 Boston Red Sox 65-84 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.69
#28 Colorado Rockies 59-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.87
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 60-88 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.04
#30 Texas Rangers 56-92 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.47