MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Toronto Blue Jays 76-58 92-70 99.9% 20.8% 72.4% 1.17
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 76-58 93-69 98.9% 21.6% 98.7% 1.04
#3 Houston Astros 74-61 89-73 96.2% 10.7% 86.1% 0.83
#4 Cleveland Indians 65-68 81-81 10.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.60
#5 New York Mets 74-60 90-72 93.6% 10.4% 93.0% 0.56
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 86-48 102-60 100.0% 8.2% 92.0% 0.49
#7 New York Yankees 75-58 90-72 98.0% 4.7% 27.5% 0.48
#8 Tampa Bay Rays 66-68 81-81 8.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.48
#9 Kansas City Royals 82-52 97-65 100.0% 12.6% 100.0% 0.43
#10 Chicago Cubs 76-57 91-71 95.3% 3.2% 0.4% 0.42
#11 San Francisco Giants 69-66 84-78 3.4% 0.2% 1.2% 0.42
#12 Oakland Athletics 58-77 71-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.34
#13 Pittsburgh Pirates 80-53 95-67 99.9% 4.4% 7.6% 0.30
#14 Washington Nationals 69-65 84-78 8.9% 0.7% 7.0% 0.30
#15 Baltimore Orioles 65-69 78-84 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% -0.05
#16 Los Angeles Angels 68-66 82-80 20.4% 0.7% 2.8% -0.09
#17 San Diego Padres 65-70 79-83 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.12
#18 Seattle Mariners 64-71 77-85 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.16
#19 Cincinnati Reds 55-77 68-94 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.17
#20 Detroit Tigers 61-73 74-88 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.29
#21 Arizona Diamondbacks 65-70 77-85 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.30
#22 Boston Red Sox 62-72 75-87 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.37
#23 Miami Marlins 56-79 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.47
#24 Texas Rangers 70-63 84-78 48.7% 0.7% 11.0% -0.49
#25 Milwaukee Brewers 58-75 71-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.58
#26 Chicago White Sox 63-70 76-86 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.66
#27 Minnesota Twins 69-65 82-80 15.0% 0.2% 0.0% -0.77
#28 Colorado Rockies 56-78 67-95 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.25
#29 Philadelphia Phillies 53-82 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.36
#30 Atlanta Braves 54-81 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.38