MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 30-14 93-69 93.1% 18.4% 80.5% 2.53
#2 Boston Red Sox 28-17 89-73 78.9% 12.2% 56.0% 1.99
#3 Seattle Mariners 27-18 88-74 78.3% 9.7% 67.1% 1.27
#4 St. Louis Cardinals 24-22 84-78 40.6% 2.7% 10.6% 1.20
#5 Los Angeles Dodgers 24-23 85-77 54.4% 7.8% 35.4% 1.10
#6 Washington Nationals 28-18 89-73 77.2% 9.0% 51.6% 0.99
#7 New York Mets 26-19 87-75 65.5% 6.2% 36.2% 0.72
#8 Baltimore Orioles 26-17 84-78 42.5% 3.2% 18.1% 0.70
#9 Tampa Bay Rays 21-22 81-81 25.6% 1.5% 8.7% 0.66
#10 Cleveland Indians 24-20 84-78 50.0% 4.8% 34.2% 0.65
#11 Pittsburgh Pirates 25-19 83-79 36.1% 2.0% 8.6% 0.44
#12 San Francisco Giants 29-19 87-75 68.8% 6.2% 53.0% 0.35
#13 Chicago White Sox 27-20 84-78 46.3% 3.1% 29.0% 0.34
#14 Toronto Blue Jays 22-25 81-81 23.6% 1.9% 7.9% 0.32
#15 Miami Marlins 23-22 82-80 25.0% 0.9% 8.2% 0.01
#16 Detroit Tigers 23-22 82-80 34.2% 2.5% 19.0% -0.07
#17 New York Yankees 22-22 81-81 25.5% 2.0% 9.3% -0.08
#18 Kansas City Royals 24-21 82-80 31.4% 1.7% 17.8% -0.20
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 21-26 79-83 11.2% 0.6% 5.2% -0.23
#20 Los Angeles Angels 21-25 79-83 15.2% 0.8% 6.7% -0.50
#21 Houston Astros 18-28 76-86 6.9% 0.4% 3.6% -0.53
#22 Texas Rangers 26-20 82-80 35.8% 1.4% 19.3% -0.60
#23 Colorado Rockies 21-23 78-84 11.7% 0.3% 5.7% -0.60
#24 Philadelphia Phillies 25-21 79-83 12.5% 0.2% 3.9% -0.77
#25 Oakland Athletics 20-27 76-86 5.8% 0.4% 3.2% -1.07
#26 San Diego Padres 19-28 73-89 1.9% 0.0% 0.8% -1.17
#27 Milwaukee Brewers 19-26 74-88 1.7% 0.0% 0.3% -1.24
#28 Atlanta Braves 12-32 66-96 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.54
#29 Minnesota Twins 11-34 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.81
#30 Cincinnati Reds 15-31 68-94 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -2.24