MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 46-36 90-72 90.6% 21.2% 80.8% 1.19
#2 Houston Astros 48-35 88-74 81.9% 9.0% 62.0% 0.87
#3 Oakland Athletics 38-46 78-84 10.0% 1.1% 2.6% 0.87
#4 Toronto Blue Jays 42-41 83-79 43.8% 5.2% 23.9% 0.78
#5 St. Louis Cardinals 52-28 95-67 98.4% 14.0% 79.1% 0.61
#6 San Francisco Giants 42-40 84-78 44.4% 2.6% 15.6% 0.42
#7 Kansas City Royals 45-33 87-75 73.7% 6.7% 61.2% 0.42
#8 New York Yankees 44-37 85-77 60.0% 4.1% 38.4% 0.41
#9 Chicago Cubs 43-36 84-78 50.1% 2.3% 3.6% 0.34
#10 Baltimore Orioles 42-39 83-79 41.1% 3.4% 21.3% 0.30
#11 Los Angeles Angels 43-38 85-77 56.4% 5.7% 28.2% 0.27
#12 Detroit Tigers 41-39 82-80 31.0% 3.4% 18.4% 0.27
#13 Washington Nationals 45-36 88-74 84.9% 9.7% 80.7% 0.27
#14 Cleveland Indians 38-42 80-82 17.3% 1.6% 8.8% 0.25
#15 Tampa Bay Rays 42-41 82-80 32.2% 2.1% 14.6% 0.23
#16 Pittsburgh Pirates 46-34 88-74 79.2% 4.5% 17.2% 0.22
#17 Cincinnati Reds 36-43 76-86 2.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.06
#18 New York Mets 41-41 80-82 19.6% 0.8% 12.0% -0.17
#19 Seattle Mariners 37-44 78-84 8.2% 0.6% 2.5% -0.27
#20 Arizona Diamondbacks 40-41 78-84 6.4% 0.1% 1.4% -0.38
#21 Boston Red Sox 38-45 77-85 5.4% 0.2% 1.8% -0.44
#22 Miami Marlins 35-47 74-88 1.9% 0.0% 1.3% -0.45
#23 San Diego Padres 39-44 78-84 7.4% 0.3% 2.2% -0.52
#24 Texas Rangers 41-41 79-83 14.4% 0.5% 4.7% -0.53
#25 Atlanta Braves 40-41 79-83 13.5% 0.4% 6.0% -0.72
#26 Minnesota Twins 43-38 81-81 21.8% 0.4% 10.3% -0.88
#27 Milwaukee Brewers 35-48 73-89 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.88
#28 Chicago White Sox 36-42 75-87 2.6% 0.0% 1.3% -1.30
#29 Colorado Rockies 34-47 71-91 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -1.33
#30 Philadelphia Phillies 27-56 62-100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.77