MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Oakland Athletics 74-51 99.2% 15.2% 52.6% 1.05
#2 Los Angeles Angels 74-50 98.6% 13.0% 46.0% 0.93
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 71-56 97.9% 18.3% 91.0% 0.78
#4 Seattle Mariners 68-57 52.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.65
#5 Washington Nationals 71-53 98.1% 13.6% 93.7% 0.55
#6 Tampa Bay Rays 61-64 1.9% 0.1% 0.8% 0.49
#7 Cleveland Indians 63-61 8.2% 0.7% 4.0% 0.30
#8 Detroit Tigers 67-56 59.6% 6.5% 38.8% 0.30
#9 Baltimore Orioles 72-52 95.0% 8.3% 93.7% 0.28
#10 Milwaukee Brewers 71-55 92.6% 5.9% 61.9% 0.25
#11 St. Louis Cardinals 68-57 85.2% 6.5% 34.6% 0.24
#12 San Francisco Giants 65-59 51.0% 2.7% 8.8% 0.24
#13 Pittsburgh Pirates 64-62 23.6% 0.9% 3.2% 0.20
#14 Toronto Blue Jays 64-62 4.6% 0.2% 2.1% 0.12
#15 San Diego Padres 58-66 1.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.02
#16 Kansas City Royals 70-55 73.8% 3.9% 57.1% -0.11
#17 Cincinnati Reds 61-65 3.8% 0.1% 0.3% -0.14
#18 New York Yankees 63-60 6.4% 0.4% 3.4% -0.18
#19 Chicago Cubs 55-70 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.27
#20 Atlanta Braves 66-60 39.8% 0.9% 6.0% -0.30
#21 Miami Marlins 63-62 6.4% 0.1% 0.4% -0.37
#22 New York Mets 59-68 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -0.49
#23 Houston Astros 53-73 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.55
#24 Chicago White Sox 59-67 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.56
#25 Minnesota Twins 55-69 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.58
#26 Philadelphia Phillies 55-71 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.67
#27 Boston Red Sox 56-69 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.68
#28 Colorado Rockies 49-76 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.85
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 53-73 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.98
#30 Texas Rangers 48-77 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.53