MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Oakland Athletics 65-40 100.0% 19.2% 70.8% 1.27
#2 Los Angeles Angels 63-41 98.6% 11.7% 29.0% 1.15
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 59-47 92.2% 14.6% 80.2% 0.82
#4 Seattle Mariners 54-51 29.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.48
#5 Tampa Bay Rays 52-54 13.7% 1.5% 6.5% 0.46
#6 Washington Nationals 57-46 83.0% 8.8% 66.5% 0.45
#7 Detroit Tigers 57-45 87.1% 12.5% 82.4% 0.39
#8 Toronto Blue Jays 57-50 49.4% 3.1% 30.8% 0.38
#9 St. Louis Cardinals 56-48 66.7% 6.0% 37.8% 0.34
#10 Pittsburgh Pirates 56-49 56.0% 4.3% 26.1% 0.28
#11 Milwaukee Brewers 59-48 62.8% 3.9% 31.3% 0.22
#12 San Francisco Giants 57-49 54.5% 2.6% 19.6% 0.19
#13 Cleveland Indians 52-53 16.5% 1.5% 9.0% 0.17
#14 Baltimore Orioles 58-46 65.6% 3.3% 50.7% -0.06
#15 Cincinnati Reds 52-53 16.3% 0.8% 4.8% -0.06
#16 New York Yankees 54-51 21.0% 1.1% 11.7% -0.15
#17 Atlanta Braves 58-48 59.3% 2.4% 30.9% -0.15
#18 Chicago White Sox 51-55 3.1% 0.2% 1.4% -0.25
#19 New York Mets 51-55 4.6% 0.4% 1.7% -0.26
#20 San Diego Padres 46-59 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.33
#21 Kansas City Royals 53-51 14.6% 0.4% 7.1% -0.40
#22 Chicago Cubs 43-61 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.42
#23 Miami Marlins 52-53 4.3% 0.0% 1.0% -0.44
#24 Boston Red Sox 48-58 0.7% 0.0% 0.2% -0.51
#25 Minnesota Twins 47-57 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% -0.67
#26 Philadelphia Phillies 46-60 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.68
#27 Houston Astros 43-63 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.70
#28 Colorado Rockies 43-62 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.77
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 46-60 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.82
#30 Texas Rangers 42-64 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.58