MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Kansas City Royals 12-4 85-77 49.5% 3.9% 30.5% 2.32
#2 Los Angeles Dodgers 11-6 98-64 98.5% 24.2% 93.4% 1.99
#3 St. Louis Cardinals 12-4 94-68 93.4% 13.7% 74.0% 1.61
#4 Oakland Athletics 8-11 84-78 44.7% 5.4% 29.6% 1.52
#5 Detroit Tigers 12-6 88-74 72.8% 8.5% 55.1% 1.51
#6 Tampa Bay Rays 10-8 86-76 57.5% 5.8% 35.6% 1.45
#7 Houston Astros 10-7 79-83 18.2% 0.8% 10.0% 0.98
#8 New York Mets 14-4 85-77 51.4% 1.9% 34.9% 0.86
#9 Baltimore Orioles 8-10 83-79 37.4% 2.8% 17.6% 0.79
#10 New York Yankees 10-8 80-82 20.2% 0.7% 8.6% 0.75
#11 San Diego Padres 10-9 82-80 30.2% 0.8% 2.9% 0.72
#12 Chicago Cubs 9-7 82-80 27.6% 1.0% 5.2% 0.56
#13 Toronto Blue Jays 9-9 82-80 30.5% 2.3% 13.2% 0.27
#14 Boston Red Sox 10-8 85-77 47.8% 4.2% 24.9% -0.18
#15 Miami Marlins 7-11 75-87 7.0% 0.3% 4.0% -0.20
#16 Cincinnati Reds 8-9 76-86 7.6% 0.2% 1.1% -0.32
#17 Seattle Mariners 7-10 83-79 42.1% 3.3% 27.8% -0.36
#18 Pittsburgh Pirates 10-8 87-75 60.9% 4.0% 19.6% -0.39
#19 Atlanta Braves 9-8 79-83 18.0% 0.6% 10.2% -0.41
#20 San Francisco Giants 8-11 83-79 34.0% 1.5% 3.4% -0.62
#21 Colorado Rockies 10-8 75-87 4.8% 0.1% 0.3% -0.65
#22 Los Angeles Angels 9-9 84-78 46.8% 5.1% 31.8% -0.81
#23 Arizona Diamondbacks 8-9 69-93 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% -0.85
#24 Cleveland Indians 6-10 81-81 25.1% 2.4% 12.4% -0.88
#25 Chicago White Sox 6-9 75-87 4.3% 0.0% 1.5% -0.94
#26 Washington Nationals 7-11 87-75 64.8% 6.4% 50.5% -1.05
#27 Minnesota Twins 7-10 71-91 1.6% 0.0% 0.6% -1.97
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 6-12 68-94 0.6% 0.0% 0.4% -2.05
#29 Texas Rangers 6-11 71-91 1.4% 0.1% 0.8% -2.13
#30 Milwaukee Brewers 3-15 70-92 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% -2.37