MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Oakland Athletics 63-38 99.9% 19.8% 80.5% 1.33
#2 Los Angeles Angels 60-41 95.8% 8.8% 19.1% 1.08
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 56-47 78.9% 10.7% 53.7% 0.74
#4 Detroit Tigers 57-42 92.1% 14.8% 88.0% 0.51
#5 Seattle Mariners 53-49 32.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.44
#6 Tampa Bay Rays 49-53 12.6% 0.9% 7.0% 0.42
#7 Washington Nationals 55-44 81.9% 9.1% 68.9% 0.41
#8 Pittsburgh Pirates 54-47 55.8% 4.2% 24.3% 0.35
#9 St. Louis Cardinals 54-47 59.4% 5.3% 27.4% 0.34
#10 San Francisco Giants 57-45 74.9% 5.9% 46.2% 0.32
#11 Milwaukee Brewers 58-45 70.8% 5.0% 41.1% 0.30
#12 Toronto Blue Jays 54-49 37.8% 2.6% 22.7% 0.28
#13 Cleveland Indians 51-51 19.0% 1.3% 7.2% 0.09
#14 Cincinnati Reds 51-50 22.5% 1.4% 7.1% 0.01
#15 Baltimore Orioles 56-45 62.1% 3.4% 48.5% -0.01
#16 Atlanta Braves 55-47 49.6% 2.6% 28.8% -0.16
#17 New York Yankees 53-48 32.7% 2.2% 20.8% -0.16
#18 San Diego Padres 45-56 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% -0.31
#19 New York Mets 48-54 3.4% 0.0% 1.6% -0.33
#20 Kansas City Royals 51-50 11.8% 0.4% 4.0% -0.34
#21 Chicago White Sox 49-54 1.6% 0.0% 0.7% -0.37
#22 Boston Red Sox 47-55 2.1% 0.0% 1.0% -0.39
#23 Chicago Cubs 41-59 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.46
#24 Miami Marlins 48-53 1.6% 0.0% 0.7% -0.49
#25 Minnesota Twins 46-55 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% -0.57
#26 Houston Astros 42-60 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.71
#27 Philadelphia Phillies 44-58 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.75
#28 Colorado Rockies 41-60 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.81
#29 Arizona Diamondbacks 44-58 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.83
#30 Texas Rangers 40-62 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.62