MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 60-40 94-68 97.7% 20.9% 90.2% 1.79
#2 Boston Red Sox 55-44 88-74 65.6% 7.8% 25.0% 1.23
#3 Los Angeles Dodgers 57-45 91-71 84.0% 11.3% 50.6% 1.18
#4 Washington Nationals 59-42 93-69 92.8% 11.2% 79.0% 1.12
#5 Cleveland Indians 57-42 91-71 90.7% 12.8% 83.2% 1.03
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 54-47 87-75 47.3% 2.8% 8.3% 0.98
#7 Toronto Blue Jays 57-45 89-73 74.2% 9.1% 36.9% 0.93
#8 San Francisco Giants 59-42 91-71 82.7% 6.0% 49.2% 0.65
#9 Seattle Mariners 51-49 84-78 27.0% 2.5% 17.1% 0.61
#10 Miami Marlins 55-46 86-76 42.4% 1.6% 11.0% 0.40
#11 New York Mets 53-47 86-76 38.7% 2.2% 9.9% 0.38
#12 Houston Astros 55-46 86-76 48.4% 3.0% 33.9% 0.35
#13 Baltimore Orioles 58-42 89-73 73.4% 3.8% 36.2% 0.26
#14 Detroit Tigers 54-48 85-77 38.3% 2.3% 14.6% 0.09
#15 New York Yankees 52-49 81-81 11.1% 0.5% 1.8% -0.08
#16 Pittsburgh Pirates 52-48 83-79 12.9% 0.3% 1.5% -0.11
#17 Tampa Bay Rays 39-61 69-93 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.24
#18 San Diego Padres 44-58 73-89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.30
#19 Los Angeles Angels 45-56 74-88 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% -0.33
#20 Texas Rangers 58-44 87-75 64.2% 1.9% 48.8% -0.43
#21 Kansas City Royals 49-51 79-83 3.4% 0.1% 1.0% -0.47
#22 Chicago White Sox 50-51 79-83 3.3% 0.0% 1.2% -0.49
#23 Colorado Rockies 49-52 78-84 1.4% 0.0% 0.2% -0.54
#24 Oakland Athletics 47-55 75-87 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% -0.58
#25 Arizona Diamondbacks 42-59 71-91 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.63
#26 Milwaukee Brewers 43-56 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.71
#27 Minnesota Twins 37-63 65-97 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.91
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 46-57 72-90 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.95
#29 Atlanta Braves 35-66 62-100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.09
#30 Cincinnati Reds 40-61 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.39