MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 18-6 90-72 82.3% 14.9% 66.2% 2.87
#2 St. Louis Cardinals 13-13 83-79 39.1% 3.3% 15.8% 1.88
#3 New York Mets 16-8 88-74 68.8% 7.8% 37.4% 1.32
#4 Boston Red Sox 15-10 85-77 59.5% 7.2% 39.5% 1.31
#5 Washington Nationals 18-7 89-73 77.9% 8.9% 49.6% 1.23
#6 Baltimore Orioles 14-10 83-79 41.7% 4.1% 23.9% 1.14
#7 Seattle Mariners 14-11 84-78 55.8% 6.3% 42.2% 1.04
#8 Pittsburgh Pirates 15-11 83-79 38.4% 3.1% 15.8% 0.79
#9 Los Angeles Dodgers 13-13 84-78 51.0% 8.4% 39.3% 0.79
#10 Chicago White Sox 18-8 85-77 60.8% 5.6% 40.0% 0.73
#11 Tampa Bay Rays 11-13 79-83 24.0% 1.9% 11.7% 0.44
#12 Cleveland Indians 10-12 81-81 32.1% 3.2% 15.5% 0.43
#13 Miami Marlins 12-12 81-81 26.2% 1.3% 8.5% 0.28
#14 San Francisco Giants 14-13 83-79 41.9% 4.1% 31.1% 0.13
#15 Toronto Blue Jays 12-15 81-81 35.0% 4.1% 18.6% 0.06
#16 Detroit Tigers 14-10 83-79 46.8% 3.7% 27.2% 0.00
#17 Colorado Rockies 12-13 79-83 18.6% 0.7% 11.4% -0.07
#18 Kansas City Royals 13-12 81-81 33.0% 2.4% 16.6% -0.08
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 12-15 80-82 21.3% 1.7% 13.9% -0.27
#20 Oakland Athletics 13-14 79-83 23.1% 1.3% 13.4% -0.40
#21 Los Angeles Angels 12-14 80-82 27.7% 1.8% 17.2% -0.51
#22 Texas Rangers 15-11 81-81 34.3% 2.0% 21.4% -0.69
#23 Philadelphia Phillies 15-11 80-82 17.6% 0.4% 4.2% -0.72
#24 Minnesota Twins 8-18 72-90 2.5% 0.0% 0.7% -0.82
#25 New York Yankees 8-15 77-85 13.1% 0.8% 6.4% -0.90
#26 Houston Astros 8-18 76-86 10.8% 0.6% 5.9% -0.99
#27 San Diego Padres 10-16 75-87 6.4% 0.2% 4.3% -1.15
#28 Cincinnati Reds 10-16 74-88 4.8% 0.1% 0.8% -1.98
#29 Milwaukee Brewers 10-15 75-87 4.7% 0.1% 1.5% -2.20
#30 Atlanta Braves 6-19 70-92 1.1% 0.0% 0.2% -2.35