MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Los Angeles Dodgers 24-16 96-66 97.3% 23.2% 83.6% 1.76
#2 Kansas City Royals 26-14 89-73 75.4% 6.3% 43.8% 1.36
#3 Tampa Bay Rays 23-19 87-75 66.8% 8.6% 50.0% 1.00
#4 Detroit Tigers 25-17 89-73 79.3% 9.4% 48.2% 0.92
#5 Houston Astros 27-15 85-77 56.3% 3.4% 41.1% 0.78
#6 St. Louis Cardinals 27-14 93-69 93.7% 11.3% 82.7% 0.69
#7 Oakland Athletics 14-29 77-85 8.2% 0.6% 4.4% 0.60
#8 San Francisco Giants 23-18 88-74 72.8% 5.1% 15.7% 0.58
#9 Baltimore Orioles 18-20 82-80 34.2% 3.4% 19.0% 0.49
#10 Chicago Cubs 23-17 84-78 42.3% 2.0% 11.6% 0.35
#11 New York Yankees 22-19 82-80 31.4% 1.3% 15.6% 0.32
#12 New York Mets 24-18 84-78 44.0% 1.2% 17.8% 0.30
#13 Washington Nationals 24-17 91-71 87.7% 11.6% 76.4% 0.23
#14 Toronto Blue Jays 19-24 80-82 17.6% 1.2% 7.4% 0.15
#15 Cleveland Indians 17-23 80-82 17.5% 0.7% 4.7% -0.07
#16 Seattle Mariners 18-22 81-81 29.4% 2.6% 17.1% -0.10
#17 Cincinnati Reds 18-22 77-85 5.7% 0.1% 0.6% -0.11
#18 Los Angeles Angels 21-20 85-77 52.0% 4.9% 36.3% -0.14
#19 Atlanta Braves 20-20 79-83 16.2% 0.5% 5.5% -0.31
#20 Arizona Diamondbacks 19-21 73-89 1.6% 0.0% 0.1% -0.32
#21 San Diego Padres 20-22 79-83 11.0% 0.3% 0.6% -0.50
#22 Pittsburgh Pirates 18-22 81-81 25.2% 1.1% 5.1% -0.51
#23 Miami Marlins 16-26 72-90 0.9% 0.0% 0.3% -0.64
#24 Texas Rangers 18-23 73-89 1.9% 0.1% 1.1% -0.71
#25 Boston Red Sox 19-22 79-83 16.6% 0.8% 7.9% -0.87
#26 Minnesota Twins 23-17 78-84 10.2% 0.2% 2.5% -0.95
#27 Chicago White Sox 18-20 74-88 3.2% 0.0% 0.7% -1.20
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 18-25 68-94 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% -1.42
#29 Milwaukee Brewers 15-27 71-91 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% -1.46
#30 Colorado Rockies 15-23 69-93 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% -1.48