MLB Team Rankings

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Team Power Rankings · Player Power Rankings

Playoffs refers to the likelihood of a team making the playoffs.

Champs refers to the likelihood of a team winning the World Series.

Division refers to the likelihood of a team winning their division.

nERD is our calculation of how good a team is, based on our analytic calculation of how much a team should win by against a perfectly average opponent.

Team Record Proj W-L Playoffs Champs Division nERD
#1 Chicago Cubs 49-26 97-65 99.6% 24.6% 95.8% 2.26
#2 Boston Red Sox 41-35 86-76 58.4% 7.6% 29.6% 1.31
#3 Cleveland Indians 45-30 91-71 91.4% 13.3% 82.3% 1.24
#4 St. Louis Cardinals 39-36 86-76 48.0% 1.6% 3.9% 1.10
#5 Washington Nationals 45-32 91-71 88.6% 10.8% 71.0% 1.02
#6 Los Angeles Dodgers 42-36 87-75 67.4% 6.7% 21.9% 0.89
#7 San Francisco Giants 49-29 93-69 94.1% 8.9% 76.6% 0.68
#8 Seattle Mariners 38-38 82-80 26.6% 1.2% 6.2% 0.66
#9 Toronto Blue Jays 41-37 85-77 45.6% 4.3% 18.8% 0.65
#10 Baltimore Orioles 45-30 88-74 72.7% 5.8% 47.7% 0.52
#11 New York Mets 40-35 85-77 42.3% 2.6% 15.7% 0.30
#12 Miami Marlins 41-35 84-78 41.2% 1.0% 13.3% 0.17
#13 Houston Astros 40-37 83-79 31.8% 1.9% 7.6% 0.16
#14 Detroit Tigers 38-38 82-80 22.0% 1.3% 5.8% 0.05
#15 Kansas City Royals 40-35 83-79 32.3% 1.5% 9.8% -0.01
#16 Texas Rangers 50-27 93-69 94.6% 5.6% 86.1% -0.03
#17 New York Yankees 37-38 80-82 11.9% 0.4% 3.5% -0.18
#18 Tampa Bay Rays 32-43 75-87 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% -0.19
#19 Arizona Diamondbacks 36-43 77-85 3.8% 0.1% 0.4% -0.23
#20 Pittsburgh Pirates 37-40 79-83 6.4% 0.1% 0.3% -0.26
#21 Colorado Rockies 37-39 79-83 7.3% 0.2% 0.9% -0.40
#22 San Diego Padres 33-44 73-89 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% -0.53
#23 Los Angeles Angels 32-45 73-89 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% -0.57
#24 Chicago White Sox 38-38 79-83 9.7% 0.2% 2.2% -0.60
#25 Milwaukee Brewers 34-41 74-88 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% -0.68
#26 Oakland Athletics 33-43 74-88 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% -0.76
#27 Atlanta Braves 26-50 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.07
#28 Philadelphia Phillies 33-45 71-91 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -1.31
#29 Minnesota Twins 24-51 63-99 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.41
#30 Cincinnati Reds 29-48 66-96 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.74