NFL
6 NFL FanDuel Value Plays for the Conference Championships
Is Jared Goff's upside enough to put him in play as the slate's cheapest quarterback?

Jared Goff, QB, Los Angeles Rams

Price: $8,000

Jared Goff fell flat for fantasy purposes last week, but that's the risk you're taking in going with a value quarterback on a short slate. You weren't playing Goff for his high floor but because of the discounted upside he offered. And this week is no different.

With both of this week's games projected to be close, the Los Angeles Rams only have the third-best implied total, but that's still a solid mark of 26.5, and isn't all that far off from the two teams above them (28.75 and 30.0).

While chasing quarterback volume in heavy underdogs doesn't generally work well, thanks to a drop in efficiency, as only 3.5-point underdogs the Rams aren't exactly likely to get overwhelmed here. And if we look at games that have been close in the regular season, with margins of victory between -5 and 5, Goff has averaged 21.5 FanDuel points per game, topping 25.0 in two of the five.

The New Orleans Saints aren't a scary matchup either, having finished the regular season ranked 18th in numberFire's Adjusted Defensive Passing Todd Gurley (and now, apparently, C.J. Anderson), but his upside doesn't trail the rest of the week's passers by nearly as much as his salary does.

Prev Next

Related News

The Divisional Round's Perfect NFL DFS Lineups

Jim Sannes  --  Jan 16th, 2019

Fantasy Football: The Late-Round Podcast, Analyzing 2018's Biggest Misses

JJ Zachariason  --  Jan 16th, 2019

The Late-Round Podcast, Going for Two Late in Games

JJ Zachariason  --  Jan 16th, 2019