As a Houston Texan, Lamar Miller has been at his best when he’s been given a lead. When Vegas pegs the Texans to win, Miller has historically seen a boost in rushing volume and passing volume -- an increase of 3.7 carries and 0.5 targets per game. This week the Texans are 6-point favorites over the New York Giants.

Miller has also been one of the league's workhorse backs through two weeks, playing on 76.6% of his team snaps, seventh among running backs. If the Texans take an early lead, Miller should get to spend the rest of the game racking up carries and paying off his $6,700 price tag.