Betting Trends: The New York Jets' home opener comes against a Miami Dolphins team still yet to play in their home stadium due to Hurricane Irma. The Dolphins are getting 72% of spread tickets, yet the line has dropped half a point from its -6.5 open. A big reason for this may be Jay Cutler. Since Cutler became the full-time starter for the Chicago Bears in 2009, they were the third-worst ATS (Against the Spread) team in the league.
The reverse line movement is a strong indicator of a closer game than the public expects.
Takeaways: The Miami D/ST is a popular streaming option, and they remain one despite the reverse line movement. However, there may be better options out there, potentially making them a strong fade in DFS lineups. If the Jets can finally get it going as the reverse line movement expects, running backs Matt Forte and Bilal Powell may finally provide value relative to their DFS salary.
The reverse line movement is actually good news for Dolphins wide receivers, especially Jarvis Landry, who has historically struggled as a favorite according to the Rotoviz Game Splits App. If the Jets keep it competitive, Miami will be forced to keep the ball in the air and run their offense.