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March Madness: Previewing Thursday’s Sweet 16 Matchups
Dillon Brooks and the Ducks have a Sweet 16 matchup against red-hot Michigan. What do our metrics say about that contest and the rest of Thursday's games?

Michigan (7) vs. Oregon (3)

Michigan has been one of the hottest teams in the country. Coming off of victories against Oklahoma State and Louisville, the Wolverines will face Oregon in the Sweet 16.

Oregon lost of their best players, Chris Boucher, to an ACL tear during the conference tournament. The Ducks beat Iona and Rhode Island on the opening week of the big dance, surviving a scare from the Rams, 75-72.

Michigan looks to shoot the three often, taking a shot from deep on 44.9% of their field goal attempts, which is the highest three-point attempt rate left in the tournament.

Our metrics give the Ducks a 54% chance to beat the Wolverines. Vegas, however, has Michigan favored by 1.5 points.

Below are three players to keep an eye on from each team.

Player Team PPG RPG eFG%
Dillon Brooks Oregon 16.4 3.1 0.574
Tyler Dorsey Oregon 14.0 3.4 0.566
Jordan Bell Oregon 10.8 8.3 0.632
Derrick Walton Michigan 15.4 4.8 0.556
Zak Irvin Michigan 12.9 4.4 0.512
Moritz Wagner Michigan 12.2 4.1 0.647


Here is a quick breakdown of the team stats comparison.

School nERD O Rtg eFG% Reb% TOV% D Rtg Opp eFG% Opp TOV%
#3 Oregon 16.29 114.8 0.557 53.0 14.7 94.9 0.464 17.0
#7 Michigan 14.75 116.6 0.571 47.9 12.9 102.8 0.519 17.3
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