You may remember from way back two or three days ago how the Celtics, Hawks, and Rockets pulled some massive upsets in Game 4 on their home floors. And what to do to their series victory odds? Increased them by... three percent, 15 percent, and two percent, respectively. Those were exactly series-changing numbers, there.
The numbers say New York, Oklahoma City, and yes, even Indiana are still heavy favorites heading into Game 5 of their respective series. Just how much of a chance do they have of falling? Our odds say New York and Oklahoma City are essentially assured, while Indiana isn't as bad off as you'd think.
For specific game predictions, including betting lines and comparable games, check out our numberFire Premium Section. But for the stats we're watching for and the series odds moving forward, check out below.
Game 5: Boston Celtics at New York Knicks
Most Likely Result: New York Knicks in 5
| 4 Games | 5 Games | 6 Games | 7 Games | Total Win Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | 0.00% | 67.80% | 16.09% | 10.86% | 94.75% |
| Boston | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.75% | 5.75% |
Stat to Know: Boston's Offensive Rating
I wrote about New York's 82games.com, though, that increase in shooting percentage could soon regress to the mean. The Thunder held opponents to the same exact eFG% with him off the court than with him on: .469 eFG%. And due to a more defensive mindset without Westbrook on the court, opponents scored 1.6 fewer points per 100 possessions with him off the court, even if the Thunder also scored seven fewer points themselves.