FanDuel Price: $8,600

Trevor Bauer may have a 5.54 ERA and 39.1% hard-hit rate, but every now and then he inexplicably throws a gem anyway. In his last outing against the Minnesota Twins, he struck out eight in seven innings, while giving up just two runs -- good for 49 FanDuel points.

And sure, if you look at just his 3.79 SIERA and 27.6% strikeout rate, he looks like a pretty solid tournament play. But if you take it one step further, his 8.8% swinging-strike rate just doesn't add up with that lofty punchout mark. That swinging-strike rate falls in line with what he did last year (9.0%), when he had a 20.7% strikeout rate. Regression looks to be in order.

Bauer gets those same Twins tonight, but don't count on the same result.