Price: $10,100
The wind is blowing in and temperatures are pretty low at Wrigly field tonight as Jake Arrieta takes the mound against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Phillies have the seventh-highest strikeout rate in the majors against right-handed pitching, while they also sit a little bit below average with a 94 wRC+. Their 3.00 implied total is Wednesday's lowest mark, while the Chicago Cubs are the day's biggest favorites with a -185 money line.
Arrieta saw his numbers dip in a lot of areas in 2016, but he really seems to have righted this ship through five starts.
| Year | SIERA | Strikeout % | Swinging Strike % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2.83 | 27.2% | 10.4% |
| 2015 | 2.75 | 27.1% | 11.1% |
| 2016 | 3.94 | 23.9% | 10.5% |
| 2017 | 3.23 | 27.6% | 11.1% |
Bringing those numbers into a favorable matchup, he is also our top projected fantasy pitcher on the slate.