UFC Daily Fantasy Helper: UFC on ABC 2
Combat sports are one of America's longest-standing active sports to wager on. This was evident throughout the late 1900s as boxing took the sports world by storm. From Muhammed Ali to Mike Tyson, several stars were born, and Americans around the country placed bets on who would win boxing matches. Nowadays, with boxing much smaller than it was throughout the 1900s, mixed martial arts has taken the lead as America's favorite combat sport.
By far, the largest and most successful MMA organization in North America is the Ultimate Fighting Championship, commonly known as UFC. The UFC lays claim to the best mixed martial artists in the world and is showcased on both cable and pay-per-view events every month. As one of the most unique DFS sweats available, UFC daily fantasy is now live on FanDuel.
numberFire is always the best spot to get you ready for any UFC card. In addition to this helper, Brandon Gdula's betting guide breaks down where you should be placing your sharp dollars on Saturday's bouts. I also dove deeper into this slate on this week's UFC edition of The Heat Check Daily Fantasy Podcast.
Without further delay, let's break down UFC on ABC 2: Vettori vs. Holland, taking place at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas on Saturday.
Marvin Vettori ($23): Kevin Holland is a talented fighter worth taking a long, hard look at in this weekend's main event -- but ultimately, Vettori is a -340 moneyline favorite for a reason. Vettori's matchup on Saturday was initially with Darren Till for the chance to be the clear next title challenger, but with Till out due to injury, Holland steps in to attempt to reclaim some shine after an embarrassing loss three weeks ago. Unfortunately for Holland, who continues to be snakebit by his takedown defense (51%), Vettori is a capable wrestler. Vettori has multiple takedowns in three of his last five fights, but what is terrifying for Holland is that the "A" strategy for Vettori is usually his striking, where he holds the highest active striking defense (66%) of any middleweight with a relentless approach. After much due diligence, the popular Italian is to go-to option at MVP on FanDuel.
Mateusz Gamrot ($20): Outside of Vettori, this weekend's MVP candidates are terrifying. Of the 26 fighters on this card, 16 have a striking success rate above +1.00, which means there is plenty of talent in what should be close, competitive fights -- which is the opposite of what we want in our FanDuel multiplier spot. Of the remaining options, Gamrot stands out after an impressive UFC debut that saw him outstrike his opponent in all three rounds, add five takedowns to his opponent's zero, and somehow still lose a terrible decision. Gamrot enters this battle with Scott Holtzman averaging 5.00 takedowns per match as a result, and his cardio was relentless. Both of those factors should terrify the veteran Holtzmann, who has posted only a mediocre 66% takedown defense in his 11 career UFC bouts.
Other High-Salaried Fighters
Joe Solecki ($20): While Solecki's opponent, Jim Miller, makes the walk to the octagon for a record-setting 37th time, Saturday's fight is all about Solecki, the young star. Solecki has dominated all three of his UFC appearances so far, with two quick submissions and a dominant decision over Matt Wiman in which Wiman landed just 10 significant strikes in 15 minutes. "A-10" Miller is a submission ace, but the book is out on how to make him less comfortable -- offensively wrestle. Solecki does just that at 3.31 takedowns per match, and with a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt and 1.3 submission attempts per match in his holster, as well, he will be equally game to end this fight on the mat. Solecki will look to be just the second person to ever submit Miller -- with the only other being current title challenger Charles Oliveira.
Jack Shore ($18): What Shore has done to his first two UFC opponents can be described nothing short of "drowning." Shore has absorbed just 0.59 significant strikes per minute on the basis of dominating his opponents physically to the tune of being in control 12 of 18 UFC minutes he has seen thus far. Shore's offensive wrestling (5.16 takedowns per match) and underrated submission game (1.50 attempts per match) are his bread and butter. Shore's toughest test yet comes today versus the Montana wrestling product, Hunter Azure. However, Azure is a prospect himself, and Shore stands as -240 favorite entering this fight.
John Makdessi ($11): When veterans receive fights against brand-new fighters, it usually comes off a few tough performances or losses to give the veteran a chance to get back on track. Makdessi draws newcomer Ignacio Bahamondes on this card, and what is bizarre is that Makdessi has been fighting solid lightweight competition at a high level and still draws the rookie. Makdessi has outstruck his last eight opponents, and while coming up short in a few spots on the scorecards, he has performed well to the tune of 5.36 significant strikes per minute and a +1.60 striking success rate. Bahamondes owns a wildly impressive knockout, and with a huge 6'3" frame, he could be a championship-level prospect -- but the keyword is "prospect." As a +160 undergod, Makdessi has at least has a decent chance to turn away Bahamondes.
Sasha Palatnikov ($8): When seeing Palatnikov at the minimum salary on FanDuel, my primary thought was, "here we go again." Palatnikov stunned the heavily favored Louis Cosce in December as a sizable underdog, but the third-round finish was far from a fluke. While Cosce's talent is yet to be determined through one fight, Palatnikov fought with great pace (card-best 9.78 significant strikes per minute) and a positive striking success rate (+2.04). Palatnikov is once again a significant +240 underdog, this time to Impa Kasanganay. Kasanganay was the recipient of the head kick heard around the world in his last fight, and the mental aspect of that could be worth noting. In an interesting value tier, Palatnikov's strong peripherals make him a live underdog, and he provides great salary flexibility.
Austin Swaim is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Austin Swaim also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username ASwaim3. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.