Premier League Betting Guide: Matchweek 10
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest
Draw +270/Forest to win +420
Wolves are off to a somewhat surprisingly slow start this season at 1W-3D-5L, and they find themselves in 18th place in the table through the first nine league games. Wolves finished the season poorly last year, as well, going 0-2-5 in their final seven matches.
Per FBRef, Wolves have faired slightly better in expected goal difference (xGD) -- sporting a clip of -3.4, which is ranked 15th -- but not by much. They face a Nottingham Forest team that is only one point behind them at 1-2-6 in 19th place in the table. This should be an evenly-matched game and a draw at +270 is a sound bet.
Betting draw and Forest to win together provides better odds than the double chance offer of Forest and Draw of +110, so if you want to bet against Wolves Saturday, it makes sense to isolate each bet separately.
Leeds vs. Arsenal
Arsenal to win -190
Arsenal are favorites in this game -- but not by enough to be deterred from riding their hot streak. The Gunners are priced at -190 to win, giving them implied odds of 65.52%.
The Gunners are 8-0-1 to start the year with wins over Tottenham and Liverpool in their last two league matches. Arsenal are 3-0-1 away from home with wins over Brentford and Bournemouth -- two sides that are ahead of Leeds in the standings -- and a win over Palace, a team that trails Leeds by just one goal on goal difference. Arsenal won these games by a collective score of 8-0.
Leeds started the year strongly with a 2-1-0 start but have gone 0-2-3 since despite playing just one current top-half team (Brighton) in that stretch.
Arsenal have a great chance to defeat Leeds and keep their spot at the top of the table.
Liverpool vs. Manchester City
Man City to win -125
Liverpool are a talented team, and they will likely bounce back from their slow start But it’s hard to deny that they are really struggling early this season.
Liverpool are 2-4-2 overall and are 10th in the standings -- behind Brighton, Bournemouth and Fulham. They have played poorly for about two months, and facing Manchester City is not exactly the easiest way to turn things around.
City have been dominant so far, starting the year 7-2-0 with a monstrous +24 goal difference and +15.9 xGD. City lead the league in goal difference by 11 goals and lead the way in xGD by 5.7 goals. City have won three straight EPL matches by at least three goals, including a 6-3 win over fifth-place Manchester United.
City are an unstoppable force, and they should always expect to win, especially against a team struggling as much as Liverpool is. Even though this will be a tough fixture at Anfield, City are the side I'm backing.
