Premier League Betting Guide: Matchweek 33

Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd this week?

Let's see where we can zero in.

Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.

Southampton vs. Arsenal

Arsenal to win -105

Arsenal are coming off back-to-back losses to Crystal Palace and Brighton, but the Gunners outshot Palace 12-6 and outshot Brighton 20-8, so there may have been some bad luck on their end in these matches. Arsenal have had a strong season overall, going 17W-3D-10L thus far with a +9 goal difference and +9.5 xGD (expected goal difference), per FBRef.

Southampton are well behind Arsenal in the standings at 8-12-11, and they are in poor form, going 0-1-4 in their last five matches. Southampton have a -4.8 xGD for the year and seem to lag behind Arsenal significantly in every major category.

The Gunners should expect to break their two-game losing streak with a win against the Saints this weekend.

Watford vs. Brentford

Brentford to win +150

Brentford are 10-6-16 overall this season, and they are on a good stretch, going 4-0-1 in their last five matches. Brentford have picked up particularly impressive wins in their last two matches as they defeated Chelsea 4-1 away and took down West Ham 2-0 at home.

Watford are one of the main candidates for relegation this season, going 6-4-21 so far this year. Watford are 1-1-5 in their last seven matches and 2-3-14 in their last 19 games. Watford are 19th in the league in all of points, goal difference and xGD -- ahead of only last place Norwich in each category.

Brentford are in good form, and they should be able to take advantage of a struggling Watford team that seems destined for the drop.

Newcastle vs. Leicester

Newcastle to win +120

Newcastle are only 8-10-13 overall, but they have been much improved since the start of January. The Magpies are 7-1-3 in their last 11 matches, including a 1-0 win over Wolves last weekend. The January transfer window was a big help, and Newcastle's play has kept them from getting dragged into a relegation battle.

Newcastle face a Leicester team that is 11-7-11 this season but with a -9.6 expected goal difference. The Foxes are 9th in the league table but 13th in the league in xGD, indicating they may be getting fortunate with the ball bouncing their way this season. Newcastle are a new team since the window, and they have a good chance to continue their improved form with another win this weekend.