Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 15
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for the line movement of each match.
West Ham vs Chelsea
Chelsea to win -125
Chelsea are in first place with an impressive 10W-3D-1L record, and they will look to continue their winning ways in their match at West Ham on Saturday. The Blues face a difficult matchup as West Ham are 7-3-4 on the year, but the Hammers have hit a difficult patch of form in the last few games.
West Ham is 0-2-1 in their last three games, including losses to Wolves and Manchester City as well as a home draw against Brighton. They face a Chelsea team that is in amazing form, having gone 6-2-0 in their last eight games. The Blues have conceded just 6 goals all campaign while netting 33. They've been dominant.
Chelsea should expect to win almost every game on their schedule. Getting them at -125 to win is an appealing number.
Newcastle vs. Burnley
Burnley to win +220
Burnley and Newcastle find themselves in the relegation mix early in the season. Burnley are 1-7-5, but they have been losing close matches and have only a -6 goal difference and -6.5 expected goal differential (xGD), per FBRef, despite their poor record.
Newcastle are still winless at 0-7-7, and their -14 goal difference and -11.4 xGD both lag behind Burnley. Burnley are in better form, as well, and appear closer to breaking out of their slump, as they are 1-4-0 in their last five matches, compared to 0-3-2 for Newcastle.
Burnley have been the better team this season, and they are improving in form as the year progresses. Burnley to win -- even on the road -- is a bet I like at +220.
Southampton vs. Brighton
Southampton to win +145
Brighton got off to an amazing start this season, and they are still 4-7-3, which is good enough for ninth place, but they have begun to fall off a bit. Brighton are 0-4-1 in their last five, and they have struggled scoring goals all season, getting just 13 goals through 14 games.
Southampton are down in 15th place at 3-6-5, and they are 2-1-2 in their last five matches. They are in better form than Brighton over the past five, and they are ahead on xGD for the season -- +0.2 to -1.4. The Saints should have a good chance to win at home in this fairly even matchup.