Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 4
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd this week?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers. You can also check out oddsFire to get a feel for what the betting public is doing for each match.
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham
Tottenham to win -115
Tottenham are off to a perfect league start this season at 3W-0D-0L. They have won all three games by a 1-0 score, including an opening-week win against defending champions Manchester City.
On the other side, Crystal Palace are 0-2-1 in their first three matches with a -3 goal differential. If we go back to last season, Tottenham finished seventh with a +5.0 expected goal (xG) differential, per FBRef, while Palace finished 14th with a -25.0 xG differential, so there is clearly a large gap in quality between the two sides.
Tottenham should expect to get the full three points from this game, and getting Spurs at almost even odds to win is a good bet.
Brentford vs Brighton
Brighton to win +175
Brentford are off to a hot start in the EPL this season at 1-2-0, which is fantastic for a promoted side. However, the Bees finished last year third in the Championship, and their 2021-22 success is from an extremely small sample of three matches.
Brighton are also off to a good start this season, and at 2-0-1, they are actually ahead of Brentford in the table. Brighton proved they are a solid EPL-caliber team for the duration of last season, finishing with a +13.9 xG differential despite finishing in 16th place.
Brighton could be a sneaky team in the EPL this season, and they are off to a good start after a bizarre 2020-21 campaign. They should expect to win against the Bees, even if Brentford have performed better than expected to start the season.
Everton vs Burnley
Everton to win -135
Everton have looked good early this campaign with a 2-1-0 start and a +2.9 xG differential through three matchweeks. They face Burnley this weekend, and the Clarets are 0-1-2 with a -2.4 xG differential.
There was a large disparity between these two sides last year, as well. Everton came in 10th with 59 points and a -4.8 xG differential, compared to 17th for Burnley with 39 points and a -17.7 xG differential. The Clarets are predicted to be just as bad this season, and they are at +130 to get relegated, which is the fourth-best odds.
Everton have Europa League aspirations this season, and they should get a home win against one of the relegation candidates.