Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 34
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Southampton vs. Leicester
Leicester to win -105
Leicester City are having a fantastic season, and they will look to continue their push for Champions League with a win over Southampton this weekend. The Foxes are 19W-5D-9L, giving them a 57.6% win rate so far this year, and they have won three out of their last five matches.
Southampton are struggling, losing four of their last five matches, and they are not having a great season overall. The Saints are 10-6-16 for the campaign, putting them in 15th place in the table and giving them a 50% lose rate. They are just 2-1-12 in their last 15 games, so they have been quite terrible throughout the second half of the season.
Leicester have proven themselves as a Champions League-caliber team, and they face a Southampton team that have been playing at the level of a relegation candidate since the start of January. Leicester should win this game without issues.
Everton vs. Aston Villa
Aston Villa +1.0 (no push) -120
There is not much separating Aston Villa and Everton in the table. Everton lead Villa by 7 points, yet Everton finds themselves as a decent-sized favorite in this matchup.
Despite their higher position, the Toffees are behind Aston Villa by five goals on goal difference and by 4.8 goals on expected goal difference, per FBRef. Villa have had some poor luck this season, and expected goal difference indicates that there is not much separating these two sides in terms of true performance.
Villa and Everton are evenly matched, so getting Villa at +1.0 is a nice betting opportunity.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool
Liverpool to win +140
Liverpool are making a late push for the top four, and a win against Manchester United would go a long way toward helping the Reds qualify for the Champions League.
Jurgen Klopp's side trails United by 13 points in the standings, but they are ahead on expected goal difference by 4.7 goals. The Reds hit a rough stretch of form in the middle of the season, when they went 1-0-6 in the league in February and early March. Since then, Liverpool have gotten back on track a bit, going 3-2-0 in their last five matches.
Liverpool are still one of the most talented teams in the league, and they seem to have gotten over their mid-season funk. They are also in desperate need of a victory on Sunday while the Red Devils don't have too much to play for outside of the rivalry. I like the +140 number on Liverpool to win.