Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 32
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at ouroddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Newcastle vs. West Ham
West Ham to win +105
West Ham are having a very strong season, as they are 16W-7D-8L, good enough for fourth place in the EPL. The Hammers are clinging to the last Champions League spot, just one point above Chelsea, and they will be looking to secure the full three points in this game.
West Ham have won 51.6% of their games so far this season, and they match up with 17th-place Newcastle, who have lost 48.4% of their games this campaign. Unsurprisingly, West Ham have enjoyed much success against the bottom-five teams in the table, going 5-1-1 in those matches.
The Hammers have done tremendously well against the EPL's bottom-feeders, and they are in need of a victory here against Newcastle. The Hammers should have no problem earning three points from this match.
Chelsea vs. Brighton
Brighton +1 (no push) +135
Brighton have been the oddest statistical team in the league this season. While they have not produced great results -- their 7-12-12 record has them in 15th -- they boast a +12.3 expected goal difference, per FBBef, which ranks fifth in the league. Some of the discrepancy is due to bad luck, but poor finishing by Brighton has played a big part, too.
Brighton have performed well in recent matches, going 2-1-1 in their last four games, with the one loss coming from a late Mason Greenwood goal at Old Trafford.
Chelsea will provide a difficult challenge for Brighton, as the Blues are 15-9-7 and in fifth place in the league. However, Chelsea are winning fewer than 50% of their matches, and Brighton are a much stronger opponent than their record indicates. Brighton should be able to come out of this match with at least one point.
Wolves vs. Sheffield United
Wolves to win -150
Sheffield United are buried in last place in the league table with an abysmal 4-2-25 record. The Blades are losing 80.6% of their games this season, and they are in terrible form, going 1-0-8 in their last nine games. Sheffield United are 19th in expected goal difference at -25.0, and they are destined to be relegated.
Wolves have been mediocre at best this year, and their 10-8-13 record puts them in 12th place. However, this bet is mostly a bet against Sheffield than a bet in favor of Wolves. Wolves are not having a spectacular season, but they have been good against the three teams currently in the relegation zone, going 3-0-1 in those fixtures, including a 2-0 win against Sheffield earlier this season.
Wolves should have no problem winning this match against the worst team in the league.