Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 31
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Fulham vs. Wolves
Wolves to win +210
Wolves have struggled a bit recently, but overall they have been much better than Fulham this season, with a 9W-8D-13L record compared to Fulham’s 5-11-12. Wolves are four spots and nine points ahead of the Cottagers in the table ahead despite having a game in hand.
Wolverhampton are also doing better in both goal difference (-11, compared to Fulham’s -17) and FB Ref's expected goal difference (-2.6, compared to Fulham’s -7.0). Wolves have been better in every major statistical category this season, so to get them at longer than 2-1 odds is a very enticing betting opportunity.
Wolves already beat Fulham 1-0 earlier this season, and they are positioned well to win this matchup this weekend.
Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea
Chelsea -1 (no push) +150
Chelsea have been surging recently, going 6-3-1 in their last 10 games, although they did lose in disappointing fashion to West Brom last weekend. Overall Chelsea are 14-9-7 on the year, good enough for fifth place -- putting them in the thick of the Champions League race, just one point behind fourth-place West Ham.
The Blues are performing even better than their place in the table indicates, according to expected goal difference, as they rank second in the league in this category with a +22.1 expected goal difference. Palace are on the opposite end of the spectrum in expected goal difference, sitting 18th in the league with a -21.3 expected goal difference.
Chelsea are the vastly more talented team in this matchup, and they should be able to win with limited issues. The Blues could potentially win this in blowout fashion, and getting them to win by two or more goals at plus odds is a good bet.
Burnley vs. Newcastle
Newcastle to win +230
Newcastle and Burnley have struggled this season, and both teams find themselves just above the relegation zone. Burnley have 33 points in 30 games, while Newcastle has earned 29 points in 30 games, putting these two in 15th and 17th place, respectively.
However, Newcastle do own a slight advantage on expected goal difference as they are ahead by 3.6 goals in that category. Newcastle also beat Burnley 3-1 earlier this season, so they have already shown they are capable of winning this fixture.
This should be an evenly matched game as there is not much to separate these two sides. Newcastle are the better gambling play here because they are larger underdogs, but the game is pretty much a toss-up. I side with Newcastle to win at +230.
