Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 27
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Burnley vs. Arsenal
Burnley +1 (no push) +125
Burnley are 7W-8D-12L, putting them in 15th place and leaving them on the brink of a relegation battle. Burnley are 1-4-1 in their last 6 matches, so they have been playing better recently, even if it hasn’t always translated into 3 points. Their win/draw rate of 55.56% for the season is encouraging, since they only need a draw to win this bet.
Arsenal are continuing their mediocre season and their 11-4-11 record puts them in 10th place in the league. The Gunners are 2-0-3 in their last 5 games and they have a 42.3% win rate for the season.
Arsenal are clearly more talented but Burnley is more than capable of giving the Gunners a good game here.In fact, it seems more likely than not that Burnley will pick up at least one point from this matchup.
Brighton vs. Leicester
Leicester to win +185
Leicester are 15-5-7 on the year and they sit in 3rd place in the EPL table and yet they are listed at almost 2-1 to win this game against 16th place Brighton. Leicester have already defeated Brighton 3-0 earlier this season, so they certainly have proven they are capable of winning.
Brighton are 5-11-10 on the year and they are having a tough time of it as they sit all the way down in 16th place. Brighton have lost their last two games against dreadful competition with a 2-1 loss to 13th place Crystal Palace followed by another 1-0 loss to West Brom.
Leicester have proven all season long they are the superior side here and we should expect them to win this game without much issue.
West Ham vs. Leeds
West Ham to win +105
West Ham are having a good season this year at 13-6-7 with a +9 goal difference which is good enough to have them competing for a top 4 spot. Their goal difference is more modest a +9 and their expected goal difference is even more modest at +6.2 but they still clearly boast a talented team.
Leeds are having a much tougher season at 11-2-13 and they have dropped to the bottom half of the table. Leeds have lost 50% of their games and they have a -1 goal difference and a -2.9 expected goal difference, so it is fair to say they are a below average team at this stage of the season.
West Ham should be heavier favorites to win this game and they should come away from the match with three points.
