Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 23
Which Premier League matches offer betting value on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Burnley vs. Brighton
Brighton to win +120
Brighton are only two points ahead of Burnley in the league table, but they are vastly ahead on expected goal difference -- +6.9 to -15.9. Brighton have experienced some tough luck most of the year going by this metric, but their luck may finally be starting to turn.
Brighton has gone 3W-1D-0L in their last four games, including wins over Leeds, Tottenham and Liverpool. Brighton outshot both Tottenham and Liverpool, as well, so even against top competition, they have held their own and then some.
Burnley are the second-worst team in the league based on expected goal difference, and Brighton are sixth-best despite their mediocre overall record. Brighton’s good form should help provide confidence, and they should be able to take three points from this game.
Fulham vs. West Ham
West Ham to win +105
West Ham are having a very strong season, and they are a legitimate threat to qualify for Champions League given their current position. The Hammers are 11-5-6, which is good enough for fifth place and puts them only two points behind Liverpool for that coveted fourth spot in the standings.
Fulham finds themselves on the other side of the table at 2-8-11, and they are going to have a difficult time avoiding relegation this season. Fulham are winless in their last 11 league games, while West Ham are surging, winning five of their last six matches.
West Ham are the far better team in far better form, so they should be able to win this game rather easily.
Wolves vs. Leicester
Leicester to win +115
Leicester are having a very good season, and their 13-3-6 record is good enough for third place. Thirteen wins in 22 games gives them a 59.1% win rate, and they are currently on a good stretch even sans Jamie Vardy, winning four of their last six matches.
Wolves are 16 points and 11 spots behind Leicester in the league table, and they had been in horrendous form until their win over Arsenal midweek. Despite that victory, Wolves are still 1-2-5 in their last eight games. And even in the win over the Gunners, Wolves got down 1-0 before benefiting from two Arsenal red cards, including one that game them a penalty.
Leicester are undoubtedly one of the top teams in the league, and they are facing a Wolves team that is floundering. Leicester would be very disappointed to come away with anything less than all three points.