DraftKings Daily Fantasy Soccer Helper for 11/7/20
We have one main EPL slate left before an international break will interrupt club soccer for two weeks. So let's make the most of this last slate. Here are the games, with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
|Crystal Palace (+190)||+230||Leeds (+145)|
|Chelsea (-270)||+410||Sheff Utd (+700)|
|West Ham (-125)||+280||Fulham (+330)|
Forwards to Target
Timo Werner ($8,400): Werner is the fifth highest-salaried forward on the slate, despite having the best anytime goal scoring odds of anyone. For some reason, he's $900 cheaper than teammate Olivier Giroud, who has played only 30 minutes in the league this season and has worse goal odds than Werner does. Usually we see the starting forward on the biggest favorite on the slate with a higher salary than this, especially given this matchup.
Chelsea are at home against Sheffield United. The Blades are not the same defensively solid unit we saw last season. They've allowed the fourth most shots per game, according to WhoScored.com. They are also the second worst possession team in the Premier League, which should lead to Chelsea having the ball in and around the box a lot. If they do that and win a penalty, a new development is that Werner will likely get the chance to score from the spot. He scored two penalties in the Champions League game on Wednesday even with the previous taker, Jorginho, on the pitch, as well. Werner's discounted salary makes him a strong play in all formats.
Jarrod Bowen ($7,700): Bowen came on strong last season after joining West Ham in January, particularly after the league restarted in June. A lot of his production came through crosses and assists, but this season he's added goals to his game. He's scored three times in five appearances in the league. Bowen continues to produce in other ways besides goals and assists, leading West Ham in corners taken this season. West Ham take on a weak Fulham side who have been outmatched in most Premier League games this season. They are tied for the third most goals allowed in the league. With West Ham being the second biggest favorites, Bowen has a nice floor/ceiling combination.
Helder Costa ($6,200): Costa is a value option at a forward position that isn't loaded with great plays this week. He plays for a Leeds United team that loves to attack and play fast soccer. They currently are averaging the fourth most shots per game. That elevates Costa's ability to potentially get points from shots, shot assists and crosses. The matchup is also good against Crystal Palace, who are the worst possession team in the league and allow the third most shots per game. If Leeds are able to play their game, Costa is definitely a viable play at this salary.
Midfielders to Target
Jack Harrison ($7,900): Another player from Leeds we can look at is Jack Harrison. Harrison has stepped into a role on corner kicks as Kalvin Phillips has been out of the lineup due to injury. He had fantasy value before that injury anyway and currently has the most crosses on leads with 36. He has more than 13 DraftKings points in five of his six league appearances this season. Harrison should be one of the more reliable midfield options on the slate.
Tom Cairney ($6,900): Cairney has been one of Fulham's lone bright spots to begin this season. He's been used more as an attacking midfielder than he has been in the past, and it's helped his fantasy value a lot. He has more than 10 DK points in four of his last five games. Cairney has also taken over most of the set pieces for Fulham. Fulham are the most cross-happy team in the league, averaging 24 in the league. They are underdogs in this match against West Ham, but the matchup isn't too intimidating. The Hammers are the third worst possession team in the league, so Fulham should be able to produce fantasy points. Cairney is one of the better floor midfielders available this week.
Oliver Norwood ($4,600): If John Lundstram's contract dispute causes him to sit out this game, so Norwood will likely step into a good role as Sheffield United's set-piece taker. We've seen Norwood be able to get lots of points from corners in the past, and now his salary has come down due to the sharing of the role. With John Fleck on the sidelines with injury and now possibly Lundstram out, too, Norwood is a good value. It's not the best matchup against a Chelsea side who have really improved defensively of late, but you could do worse for $4,600 at midfield.
Defenders to Target
Ben Chilwell ($6,700): Chelsea set pieces are a mess right now, with seemingly a new player taking over in every game. Chilwell still leads the team in corners taken this season. Regardless of how many set pieces he gets, Chilwell is one of the better attacking full-backs in the league. He is currently averaging 6.25 crosses per 90 minutes in league games this season. That bodes well against Sheffield United, who have allowed the fourth most crosses per game. Chilwell's value can increase if the lineup breaks right for him, such as Mason Mount or Hakim Ziyech not starting. Either way, he's the top defender available this week.
Aaron Cresswell ($5,500): Perhaps the only other defender who may have a role on set pieces is Aaron Cresswell of West Ham. He's been in good attacking form this season, averaging six crosses per 90 minutes as well as 1.86 chances created and three assists, according to Rotowire. He has a significant lead in crosses for West Ham with 42, which is also tied for the sixth most in the league. Cresswell is a good option if you don't want to spend all the way up for Chilwell, or you could play both for potentially the two highest scorers at the defender position.
Nathaniel Clyne ($3,100): Clyne was once highly thought of as a right-back when he joined Liverpool in 2015. Injury luck went against him, and he has become somewhat of a forgotten man. Now back in a starting role with Crystal Palace, he's a decent punt play at defender. He scored 5.8 DK points in his last start against Wolves, and if he were to do that again, he would be worth playing for just $3,100.
Goalkeepers to Target
Edouard Mendy ($5,900): Mendy has been fantastic since taking over at keeper for Chelsea. He has kept a clean sheet in each of his past six starts for the Blues. Now he faces a Sheffield United team that have scored just three goals in the league, two of which were from penalties. The Blades don't offer much threat, and Chelsea are even money to keep a clean sheet in this game. Mendy is head and shoulders above the rest of the goalies on this slate.
Illan Meslier ($4,900): Meslier has a good matchup against a Crystal Palace attack that doesn't scare anyone. They average the fewest shots per game in the league. With not many players you are spending your salary on for this slate, there is no reason to spend down at goalkeeper. Meslier makes for a good value option if you're not playing Mendy, as it's unlikely that Leeds get their doors blown off against Crystal Palace.
Nicholas Vazquez is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Nicholas Vazquez also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username hbyanksman. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.