FanDuel Soccer: Bundesliga DFS Helper for Matchday 31
In these times, we're all making adjustments. FanDuel is no different, and they are now offering Bundesliga daily fantasy.
Finally, some good news.
The slate kicks off at 9:30 a.m. EST on Saturday. Lineups will be announced at 8:30 a.m. EST. All betting lines come from FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.
|Freiburg at Wolfsburg||Wolfsburg (-150)||-136||Weghorst (-110)|
|Dortmund at Dusseldorf||Dortmund (-280)||-205||Haaland (-200)|
|Eintracht Frankfurt at Hertha Berlin||Hertha Berlin (+105)||-164||Piatek (+120)|
|Union Berlin at Koln||Koln (+105)||-128||Cordoba (+140)|
|Werder Bremen at Paderborn||Werder Bremen (+110)||-146||Sargent/Selke (+180)|
|Monchengladbach at Bayern Munich||Bayern Munich (-290)||-290||Gnabry (-130)|
When Bayern Munich are on the slate, things usually revolve around them. That's the case again, but it's a Bayern side sans Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Muller, both of whom are suspended. Even without those two, Bayern are the slate's biggest favorite (-290) in a home date with a quality Borussia Monchengladbach squad.
At -290 (74% implied win odds), Bayern is definitely stackable. A study I did during the hiatus found that the most successful stacks come from teams with implied win odds of at least 70%. It's anyone's guess who will take penalties with Lewandowski and Philippe Coutinho out. Those two have taken all five of Bayern's pens this year. Also, Bayern are in the late game, so we won't know their lineup when the other five games lock, which will be a hassle.
Serge Gnabry ($21; -130 to score anytime) will carry big ownership if he's able to return from the back injury that sidelined him midweek, and he could start up top in place of Lewa. Gnabry has the best anytime goal odds in this match. If Gnabry can't go, Joshua Zirkzee ($14; -105) would likely start, and he may be in the lineup even if Gnabry plays. He's got sweet goal odds and a nice price, so he'll be a building block for a lot of people if he starts.
While those two could go off, I like using a combination of Joshua Kimmich ($17; +380), Leon Goretzka ($16; +185), Kingsley Coman ($15: +185) and Ivan Perisic ($12; +130). If Perisic gets in the starting XI, he is a smashing play at this price, though he may wind up being super chalky. Stacking Coman and Goretzka could be the way to go if you're looking to dodge ownership. Goretzka has been stellar since play restarted, putting five shots on target and totaling two goals with an assist across the five league matches.
Dortmund are also stackable as they're -280 to win at Dusseldorf, a side that's 73 goals worse by goal differential. BVB's probable front three of Jadon Sancho ($22; -115), Erling Haaland ($20; -200) and Thorgan Hazard ($18; -110) are all enticing. Haaland has the best goal odds on the slate and might not see sky-high ownership due to his recent injury and overall poor form since the restart. Don't sleep on wing-back Achraf Hakimi ($14; +370). He's got two goals in five matches since the break and averages 3.0 crosses per game in that span. I like him as a stacking partner for any of the front three.
Outside of the big two, Wolfsburg stand out. They're -150 to win at home against Freiburg. I'd stay away from stacking Wolves, but it's worth having some exposure to them. Wout Weghorst ($17; -110), Maximilian Arnold ($15: +400), Josip Brekalo ($11; +115) and Renato Steffan ($12; +175) should be on our radar. The latter two are low-cost options with decent anytime goal odds.
Josh Sargent ($12; +180) is listed as a probable starter and is tied for the best goal odds in the Werder Bremen-Paderborn match. The Eintracht Frankfurt-Hertha Berlin fixture has some sneaky-good fantasy appeal and is -164 to go over 2.5 goals. Vedad Ibisevic ($15; +170) and Krzysztof Piatek ($14; +120) make sense on the Hertha side, though Piatek isn't listed as an expected starter. Bas Dost ($12; +155) is a sweet value option for Frankfurt, and Filip Kostic ($16; +320) would have a monster day if he could make the net bulge in addition to his usual spamming of crosses (16 in each of his last two outings).
If you want upside, Benjamin Pavard ($14; +950) and Alphonso Davies ($16; +470) are the obvious choices. Davies' salary puts him atop the defender pricing, but if you think about him as a winger -- which he is when Bayern have the ball -- then the salary isn't bad. He has two goals and one assist in the last five. Both Davies and Pavard are great stacking options with Bayern attackers.
On the flip side of that game, any Monchengladbach starting defender will have a good chance to rack up defensive action points. Nico Elvedi ($7) is listed as a probable starter and is a superb play at his price. Unfortunately, like we said earlier, this match is the late game, so if you're planning on Elvedi starting and he doesn't, you could be in a salary cap jam. Stefan Lainer ($9), Matthias Ginter ($10) and Ramy Bensebaini ($13) are the other expected starters in defense for Gladbach.
In the same vein, Dusseldorf's Kaan Ayhan ($8), Zanka ($9) and Markus Suttner ($8) are cheap defenders who are high-floor plays as underdogs in their fixture against Dortmund. In a similar spot on May 30, Zanka totaled 10.4 FanDuel points at Bayern Munich.
Koen Casteels ($12), Roman Burki ($13) and Manuel Neuer ($15) are the top keeper options on this slate. Burki is a huge favorite and is priced modestly, so there's plenty to like with him. The only issue is that he'll likely be popular. That pushes me to Casteels and Neuer.
Casteels is just $1 cheaper than Burki and has much worse win odds, so he shouldn't see too much ownership. But while Casteels' win odds aren't overwhelming, -150 is pretty good. Wolfsburg have been solid defensively at home, giving up 17 goals in 15 matches.
Neuer could slip through the cracks. With win odds that are nearly equal to Burki's, most people will probably take the savings and use Burki, making Neuer a savvy pivot. We know he's one of the world's best in goal, and Neuer makes sense as part of a Bayern stack. Plus, Gladbach should generate some save volume for him, raising his floor.
Tim Horn ($10) carries some risk, but he checks a few boxes, too. Koln are slight favorites (+105) in a home date with Union Berlin, and that line gives him the fourth-best win odds among expected starting keepers (after the aforementioned trio). Union have averaged just one goal per game away from home in league play, so there's a respectable chance for a clean sheet, as well. He should be low-owned. Just know he could be in the red, so you have to embrace the risk if you use him.