Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 30
Which Premier League matches offer betting value for this week on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Brighton vs Arsenal
Arsenal to win +130
Arsenal have had a strange season with a ton of draws (9W-13D-6L record) but they seem to finally be turning the corner. The Gunners have won three consecutive games and they certainly have the talent to maintain that momentum.
Despite a long winless drought earlier this season, Arsenal still remains 11 points clear of Brighton in the standings, and their goal difference is 12 goals better. The Gunners also rank four places ahead of Brighton in WhoScored.com’s team rankings.
It is clear Arsenal are the better side in this matchup, and they are finally starting to play closer to their true potential. Arsenal should expect to earn the full three points this weekend.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Chelsea to win -155
Chelsea appear to be miles ahead of Aston Villa by every metric, as they are 15 places higher in the table, 12 places higher on WhoScored.com, and have a goal difference that is 34 goals better. Chelsea remain only modest favorites due to Villa’s home court advantage.
However, home field advantage may not be a massive benefit for Villa, as they rank 17th in the league in the home table, while Chelsea ranks 3rd in the league in the away table. Chelsea should be expected to win this game even away from home, as they are the much better side and they are one of the top away teams in the league.
West Ham vs Wolves
Wolves to win +140
This is another matchup where Wolves are clearly the superior team, but the betting odds do not fully reflect this due to home field advantage. Wolves are 10 spots higher in the standings and 7 spots higher on WhoScored.com, and considering we are 29 games into the season, there is little doubt they are the better team.
Wolves are the 5th-best team in the league away from home, while West Ham are the 18th ranked home team. Wolves have 6 more points on the road this season than West Ham do at home in an identical number of games played, so even on the road, Wolves are clearly the better team.