Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 25
Which Premier League matches offer betting value for this week on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Aston Villa +1 (no push) -135
Bournemouth are a terrible team this season, as they rank 18th in the league with a 6W-5D-13L record. They trail Villa by 2 spots in the table and 8 spots in WhoScored.com’s team rankings, so they certainly appear to be the inferior team in this matchup.
Even home-field advantage is likely not enough to catapult Bournemouth to victory, as they have a very mediocre 3-4-5 home record, good for just a 25% home win rate. At -135, Aston Villa’s implied odds at a win/draw are 57.4%, so there is a large gap that bettors can potentially take advantage of. Aston Villa should be able to at least earn a draw in this game.
Newcastle vs Norwich
Newcastle to win +120
Norwich are the worst team in the EPL by every metric, as they buried in last place by 6 points, they have a goal difference 8 goals worse than anyone else in the league and they have the worst WhoScored.com team rating of any team in the league. Unsurprisingly, Norwich are also the worst team in the league away from home at 1-2-9, for just a 25% win/draw rate.
On the other side, Newcastle are not a great team (14th place overall) but they are a good home team (7th overall) earning 19 points from 12 home matches.
Newcastle’s implied odds to win are only 45.5% but they are a good home team facing a last place doormat. Newcastle should expect to earn 3 points this weekend.
Burnley vs Arsenal
Burnley +1 (no push) -120
Arsenal have had an immensely disappointing season and it is not exactly trending in the right direction with a 2-9-5 record in their last 16 games for just a 12.5% win rate. Even if we account for the entire season, Arsenal are 6-12-6 overall, winning just 25% of their games.
Burnley are actually tied on points with Arsenal at 30 and they are in much better form, having won their last two matches against Leicester and Manchester United. Burnley have won as many league games in the last 2 fixtures as Arsenal have won in the last 16!
Burnley are a decent side, but this is more a bet against Arsenal, as they have still yet to correct their season-long struggles.