Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 21
Which Premier League matches offer betting value for this week on FanDuel Sportsbook? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Burnley vs Aston Villa
Burnley to win -125
Burnley has had a mediocre season overall this year with a 7W-3D-10L record, but they have had a propensity to win at a decent rate at home with a 5-0-5 record, including a 3-0-0 record at home against teams ranked 15th or lower in the standings (Aston Villa is currently 18th).
On the other side, Aston Villa has been horrendous away from home this year at 1-1-8, which is the worst away record in the entire league. Overall, Villa is 5-3-12 -- good enough for 18th in the league, and they are rightfully an underdog in this matchup.
Burnley should be able to earn the full 3 points at home in this matchup, and at -125, they are not a big enough favorite to deter bettors from switching to Villa.
Brighton vs Chelsea
Chelsea to win -105
Chelsea are coming off an exciting win against Arsenal where they scored two late goals to steal 3 points at the Emirates. The result should be no surprise, as Chelsea have been the second-best away side in the EPL this season with a 7-0-3 record overall.
Brighton are a decent home team at 4-3-3, but overall they are in 14th place (10 spots behind Chelsea) and they have a -4 goal differential. WhoScored.com’s team rankings have Chelsea nine spots ahead of Brighton, so by every metric the Blues are the superior team.
Frank Lampard has the more talented side in this matchup, and with Chelsea being such a strong away side, they should have no problem picking up the win.
Arsenal vs Manchester United
Manchester United +1 (no push) -195
Arsenal have been absolutely dreadful since early October, having gone 1-6-5 in their last 12 league games, with the one win coming against 17th place West Ham. Overall, the Gunners find themselves in 12th place and they just can’t seem to figure anything out, despite churning through three managers during that time period.
Manchester United have been somewhat disappointing as well, but not to the same degree as the Gunners have. The Red Devils are 8-7-5 overall but, unlike Arsenal, they are 4-1-1 in their last 6 games, so they may be starting to turn the corner.
Manchester United should have no problem picking up at least a point in this game, even considering they are playing away from home. Arsenal cannot figure out anything and it is doubtful that they will find their footing against one of the more prominent teams in the league.