2 FanDuel Premier League Under-the-Radar Plays for Matchweek 16
If you have played daily fantasy sports for a while, you know the importance of being contrarian in large-field tournaments. Recognizing which players are going to be owned by the masses and finding others who you think have a similar point projection but will come at much lower ownership can really separate yourself from your opponents.
The same goes for DFS Premier League. Even though the large-field tournaments aren't quite as large as they are for other sports, there is still value in identifying quality under-the-radar plays.
This article will discuss FanDuel's main Saturday slate, which starts at 10:00 a.m. EST and features four matches.
|Saturday, December 7th
|Liverpool at Bournemouth|
|Burnley at Tottenham|
|Crystal Palace at Watford|
|Manchester United at Manchester City|
The 16th main slate features four big-six sides and is highlighted by the Manchester Derby. Manchester City is the largest favorite on the slate, with an implied win probability of 76.2%, per FanDuel Sportsbook, at home against Manchester United. Liverpool and Tottenham are behind them, with both having an implied win probability of 71.4% against Bournemouth and Burnley, respectively. Watford round out the slate as slight favorites in a pick'em against Crystal Palace.
As is usually the case with shorter slates, don't be afraid to expand your player pool to include some more marginal options that have lower odds to score. Ownership will likely be highest on Liverpool after their five-goal performance against Everton on Wednesday. The opposite can be said for Tottenham after their loss to Manchester United, which makes them an intriguing option at a price discount with possibly much lower ownership.
With that in mind, here are three players to consider this weekend -- especially for tournament formats -- who may fly under the radar.
Serge Aurier, DEF, Tottenham
FanDuel Salary: $15
Aurier has been excellent for Spurs recently, with more than 15 FanDuel points in each of his last five matches and at least 23 in two of his last three. He is involved on both ends of the pitch and has six chances created and two shots on goal combined over his last four matches to go along with 10 interceptions and 13 tackles. He has taken his game to a new level since the arrival of Jose Mourinho at Tottenham.
He is tied for the most expensive defender on the slate with Trent Alexander-Arnold ($15), who is likely to carry higher ownership given his recent play and Liverpool's form this season. Tottenham's implied goal total of 2.13 goals is only .08 behind Liverpool's implied goal total, though, making Aurier the better play for tournaments due to his expected lower ownership. His high crossing numbers -- 19 combined in his last three matches -- also make him an excellent stacking option to go along with Harry Kane ($21), who will also likely be under-owned relative to the other elite attacking options on the slate.
Spurs' opponent, Burnley, has been giving up goals in large numbers recently. They surrendered four to both Manchester City and Chelsea, three to Sheffield United, and two to Crystal Palace within their last six outings. Recently, Spurs look improved and should be able to take advantage of his home fixture, while Liverpool faces a Bournemouth side on the road that has conceded the fifth-fewest goals in the Premier League over their last six matches.
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld, MID/FWD, Bournemouth
FanDuel Salary: $8
If you opt to go with Tottenham's stars over Liverpool's this weekend, consider adding an attacking option from Bournemouth. Liverpool has been dominating this season, but their defense has been a weak spot. They haven't kept a clean sheet in the Premier League since September and have managed to keep only two all season. Even if Liverpool come away with three points, Bournemouth is likely to have their chances in the final third.
Enter Danjuma, who has made only three starts this season but has been impressive in his limited action. He started in Bournemouth's last two matches and may be rested this weekend, but if he isn't, he should be extremely low owned going up against Liverpool. His low salary lessens to risk of including him, and a repeat performance of the one he had a week ago against Tottenham -- in which he put two shots on goal and created one chance -- would be enough to justify his inclusion for tournaments.
Bournemouth has been dismal in the final third this campaign and has just five goals in their last six matches. However, two of those came recently against Tottenham, and prior to being shut out against Crystal Palace on Tuesday, the Cherries had scored in three straight games. Danjuma is a marginal play, but on a short slate and going against a side that is likely to be the cornerstone of the majority of lineups, he pairs well with a Liverpool fade and is worth consideration for tournaments.